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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China International Marine Containers (Group) (SZSE:000039) the Stock Grows 7.5%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 53%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China International Marine Containers (Group) (SZSE:000039) the Stock Grows 7.5%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 53%

尽管中国国际海运集装箱(集团)(SZSE:000039)的收益呈下降趋势,但该股仍增长了7.5%,使五年涨幅达到53%
Simply Wall St ·  02/06 22:49

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, the China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000039) share price is up 32% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 11% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 20% in the last year , including dividends .

一般而言,积极选股的目的是寻找回报优于市场平均水平的公司。根据我们的经验,购买合适的股票可以显著增加您的财富。例如,中国国际海运集装箱(集团)有限公司(SZSE:000039)的股价在过去5年中上涨了32%,明显超过了11%左右的市场回报率(不计股息)。但是,最近的回报并不那么令人印象深刻,该股去年的回报率仅为20%,包括股息。

Since it's been a strong week for China International Marine Containers (Group) shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由于这是中国国际海运集装箱(集团)股东表现强劲的一周,让我们来看看长期基本面的走势。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During five years of share price growth, China International Marine Containers (Group) actually saw its EPS drop 32% per year.

在股价增长的五年中,中国国际海运集装箱(集团)的每股收益实际上每年下降32%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

这意味着市场不太可能根据收益增长来评判该公司。由于每股收益似乎与股价不符,因此我们将改用其他指标。

On the other hand, China International Marine Containers (Group)'s revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 13% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

另一方面,中国国际海运集装箱(集团)的收入增长良好,在过去五年中复合增长了13%。目前,管理层很有可能将收入增长置于每股收益增长之上。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000039 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 7th 2024
SZSE:000039 2024年2月7日收益和收入增长

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China International Marine Containers (Group)'s TSR for the last 5 years was 53%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,中国国际海运集装箱(集团)过去5年的总股东回报率为53%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that China International Marine Containers (Group) has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 20% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 9%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with China International Marine Containers (Group) (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高兴看到中国国际海运集装箱(集团)在过去十二个月中向股东提供了20%的总股东回报率。这包括股息。这一增幅好于五年内的年度股东总回报率,即9%。因此,最近公司周围的情绪似乎一直很乐观。持乐观态度的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得更好。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向中国国际海运集装箱(集团)确定了两个警告信号(至少有一个不容忽视),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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