CRRC's (SHSE:601766) Returns Have Hit A Wall
CRRC's (SHSE:601766) Returns Have Hit A Wall
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at CRRC (SHSE:601766) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
如果我们想找到一只可以长期成倍增长的股票,我们应该寻找哪些潜在趋势?在一个完美的世界中,我们希望看到一家公司向其业务投入更多资本,理想情况下,从这些资本中获得的回报也在增加。如果你看到这一点,这通常意味着它是一家拥有良好商业模式和大量盈利再投资机会的公司。话虽如此,乍一看中国中车(SHSE: 601766),我们并不是对回报趋势不屑一顾,但让我们更深入地了解一下。
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
资本使用回报率(ROCE):这是什么?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on CRRC is:
为了澄清一下你是否不确定,ROCE是评估公司从投资于其业务的资本中获得多少税前收入(按百分比计算)的指标。在 CRRC 上进行此计算的公式为:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
已动用资本回报率 = 息税前收益 (EBIT) ¥(总资产-流动负债)
0.055 = CN¥12b ÷ (CN¥477b - CN¥259b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
0.055 = 12亿元人民币 ÷(477亿元人民币-259亿元人民币) (基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。
Therefore, CRRC has an ROCE of 5.5%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 6.1% average generated by the Machinery industry.
因此,中国中车的投资回报率为5.5%。就其本身而言,这是一个很低的数字,但大约是机械行业平均水平的6.1%。
In the above chart we have measured CRRC's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for CRRC.
在上图中,我们将中国中车先前的投资回报率与之前的表现进行了对比,但可以说,未来更为重要。如果你想了解分析师对未来的预测,你应该查看我们的中国中车免费报告。
The Trend Of ROCE
ROCE 的趋势
In terms of CRRC's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 5.5% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 30% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
就中国中车的历史投资回报率走势而言,它并不完全值得关注。在过去五年中,该公司的收入一直保持在5.5%,在此期间,公司内部使用的资本增长了30%。这种糟糕的投资回报率目前并不能激发信心,随着所用资本的增加,很明显,该企业没有将资金部署到高回报的投资中。
On a side note, CRRC's current liabilities are still rather high at 54% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
顺便说一句,中国中车的流动负债仍然相当高,占总资产的54%。这实际上意味着供应商(或短期债权人)正在为业务的很大一部分提供资金,因此请注意,这可能会带来一些风险因素。虽然这不一定是坏事,但如果这个比率较低,可能会有好处。
In Conclusion...
总之...
As we've seen above, CRRC's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Since the stock has declined 24% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
正如我们在上面看到的,中国中车的资本回报率没有增加,但它正在对业务进行再投资。由于该股在过去五年中下跌了24%,因此投资者对这一趋势的改善可能也不太乐观。总而言之,多装袋机的固有趋势并不常见,因此,如果您想要这样做,我们认为您在其他地方可能会有更多的运气。
If you want to continue researching CRRC, you might be interested to know about the 2 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
如果你想继续研究CRRC,你可能有兴趣了解我们的分析发现的两个警告信号。
While CRRC isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
尽管CRRC的回报率并不高,但请查看这份免费的股票回报率高、资产负债表稳健的公司名单。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。