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Is MGI Tech (SHSE:688114) A Risky Investment?

Is MGI Tech (SHSE:688114) A Risky Investment?

华大智造科技(上海证券交易所股票代码:688114)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/09 01:35

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that MGI Tech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688114) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们注意到,华大智造有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:688114)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务可以为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does MGI Tech Carry?

MGI Tech背负了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 MGI Tech had debt of CN¥299.6m, up from none in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.16b in cash, leading to a CN¥4.86b net cash position.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月,华大智造的债务为2.996亿元人民币,高于一年内的零债务。但另一方面,它也有51.6亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况为48.6亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688114 Debt to Equity History February 9th 2024
SHSE: 688114 2024 年 2 月 9 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is MGI Tech's Balance Sheet?

华大智造的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that MGI Tech had liabilities of CN¥1.33b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥408.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥5.16b in cash and CN¥803.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥4.22b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,华大智造的负债为13.3亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为4.087亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有51.6亿元的现金和8.031亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有422亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This surplus suggests that MGI Tech has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, MGI Tech boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine MGI Tech's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

这种盈余表明华大智造的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,华大智造拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益将决定华大智造未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

In the last year MGI Tech had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 28%, to CN¥3.1b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,华大智造科技在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了28%,至31亿元人民币。至少可以说,这让我们感到紧张。

So How Risky Is MGI Tech?

那么 MGI Tech的风险有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And in the last year MGI Tech had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥2.7b of cash and made a loss of CN¥193m. With only CN¥4.86b on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - MGI Tech has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

从统计学上讲,亏损的公司比赚钱的公司风险更大。说实话,去年MGI Tech出现了利息和税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在那段时间里,它烧毁了27亿加元的现金,损失了1.93亿加元。由于资产负债表上只有4.86亿元人民币,看来它需要很快再次筹集资金。总体而言,其资产负债表目前似乎风险不大,但在看到正自由现金流之前,我们始终保持谨慎。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如-MGI Tech 有 1 个警告标志,我们认为您应该注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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