Morningstar's (NASDAQ:MORN) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Impressive 127% Return Over the Last Five Years
Morningstar's (NASDAQ:MORN) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Impressive 127% Return Over the Last Five Years
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. One great example is Morningstar, Inc. (NASDAQ:MORN) which saw its share price drive 120% higher over five years. In the last week shares have slid back 1.2%.
任何股票(假设你不使用杠杆)的最大损失是你的资金的100%。但简而言之,一家好的公司的股价可以上涨超过100%。晨星公司(纳斯达克股票代码:MORN)就是一个很好的例子,该公司的股价在五年内上涨了120%。上周股价下跌了1.2%。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,让我们评估过去5年的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报步调一致。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
During five years of share price growth, Morningstar actually saw its EPS drop 17% per year.
在五年的股价增长中,晨星的每股收益实际上每年下降17%。
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.
这意味着市场不太可能根据收益增长来评判该公司。由于每股收益似乎与股价不符,因此我们将改用其他指标。
We doubt the modest 0.5% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. On the other hand, Morningstar's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 15% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
我们怀疑0.5%的适度股息收益率是否吸引了许多买家购买该股。另一方面,晨星的收入增长良好,在过去五年中复合增长率为15%。目前,管理层很有可能将收入增长置于每股收益增长之上。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Morningstar
可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。这份显示分析师预测的免费报告应该可以帮助您对晨星形成看法
What About Dividends?
分红呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Morningstar's TSR for the last 5 years was 127%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。碰巧的是,晨星过去5年的股东总回报率为127%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Morningstar shareholders are up 17% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 18% per year for five years. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Morningstar has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
晨星股东今年增长了17%(甚至包括股息)。但是这种回报不及市场。如果我们回顾五年,回报率甚至更高,五年内每年为18%。尽管股价上涨放缓,但该业务很有可能继续保持强劲的执行力。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,冒险吧——晨星有两个警告信号,我们认为你应该注意。
Of course Morningstar may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,晨星可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。