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Is Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou (SZSE:000523) A Risky Investment?

Is Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou (SZSE:000523) A Risky Investment?

广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000523)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/12 02:15

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology Innovation Co.,Ltd.Guangzhou (SZSE:000523) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,红棉智汇科技创新有限公司,Ltd.Guangzhou(深圳证券交易所代码:000523)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新资本或自由现金流还清债务。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可能是一个非常好的工具。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先将现金和债务水平放在一起考虑。

What Is Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou's Net Debt?

广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou had CN¥193.1m of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥265.5m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥1.17b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥974.1m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司的债务为1.931亿元人民币,低于去年同期的2.655亿元人民币。但是,它确实有11.7亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为9.741亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000523 Debt to Equity History February 12th 2024
SZSE: 000523 2024 年 2 月 12 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou's Balance Sheet?

广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou had liabilities of CN¥351.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.35b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.17b in cash and CN¥222.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥314.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司的负债为3.516亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为13.5亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有11.7亿元的现金和2.223亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出3.148亿元人民币。

Given Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou has a market capitalization of CN¥5.18b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

鉴于广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司的市值为51.8亿元人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大的威胁。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。尽管广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司确实有值得注意的负债,但它的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是红棉智汇科技创新有限公司的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

In the last year Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 3.2%, to CN¥2.5b. We would much prefer see growth.

去年,广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了3.2%,至25亿元人民币。我们更希望看到增长。

So How Risky Is Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou?

那么广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司的风险有多大?

While Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥188m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hongmian Zhihui Science and Technology InnovationLtd.Guangzhou that you should be aware of.

尽管广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司在息税前收益(EBIT)水平上亏损,但它实际上创造了1.88亿元人民币的正自由现金流。因此,尽管亏损,但考虑到净现金,它似乎没有太大的短期资产负债表风险。由于收入增长平淡无奇,在激发人们对这项业务的热情之前,我们确实需要看到一些正的息税前利润。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了广州红棉智汇科技创新有限公司的一个警告标志,你应该注意这个标志。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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