Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's (SHSE:600643) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Jumps 14% This Past Week
Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's (SHSE:600643) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Jumps 14% This Past Week
It's nice to see the Shanghai Aj Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600643) share price up 14% in a week. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. In fact, the share price is down 56%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.
很高兴见到上海 AJ 集团有限公司。, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:600643)股价在一周内上涨了14%。但是,如果你看看过去的五年,回报并不理想。实际上,股价下跌了56%,远低于购买指数基金所能获得的回报。
Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.
尽管过去一周令股东更加放心,但在过去五年中,他们仍处于亏损状态,所以让我们看看基础业务是否是造成下降的原因。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 23% each year. The share price decline of 15% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.
在股价下跌的五年中,上海安杰集团有限公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降23%。股价每年下跌15%,没有每股收益的下降那么严重。因此,投资者可能预计每股收益将反弹——或者他们此前可能已经预见到每股收益将下降。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。
What About Dividends?
分红呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shanghai Aj GroupLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -49%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,上海安杰集团有限公司过去5年的股东总回报率为-49%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Shanghai Aj GroupLtd shareholders are down 20% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -22%. Unfortunately, last year's performance is a deterioration of an already poor long term track record, given the loss of 8% per year over the last five years. Weak performance over the long term usually destroys market confidence in a stock, but bargain hunters may want to take a closer look for signs of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Aj GroupLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Shanghai Aj GroupLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant.
上海安杰集团有限公司的股东在十二个月内下跌了20%(甚至包括股息),这与-22%的市场回报率相差不远。不幸的是,鉴于过去五年中每年亏损8%,去年的表现比本已糟糕的长期记录有所恶化。长期表现疲软通常会破坏市场对股票的信心,但讨价还价者可能需要仔细观察转机的迹象。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解上海安杰集团有限公司,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。一个很好的例子:我们发现了你应该注意的5个上海Aj GroupLtd的警告标志,其中两个有点不愉快。
We will like Shanghai Aj GroupLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些重大的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢上海 Aj GroupLtd。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费清单,列出了最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。