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The Three-year Loss for Sino Biopharmaceutical (HKG:1177) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

The Three-year Loss for Sino Biopharmaceutical (HKG:1177) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

中国生物制药(HKG: 1177)股东的三年亏损可能是其收益萎缩所致
Simply Wall St ·  02/12 18:07

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited (HKG:1177) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 62% drop in the share price over that period. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 35% lower in that time. Furthermore, it's down 20% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

如果你喜欢投资股票,你一定会买入一些输家。但是,在过去三年中,中国生物制药有限公司(HKG: 1177)的长期股东表现不佳。遗憾的是,在此期间,他们不得不应对股价下跌62%的局面。而且在过去的一年里,行程并没有变得更加顺利,同期价格下降了35%。此外,它在大约一个季度内下降了20%。对于持有者来说,这并不好玩。

While the stock has risen 4.7% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

尽管该股在过去一周上涨了4.7%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态,但让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the three years that the share price fell, Sino Biopharmaceutical's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 9.1% each year. The share price decline of 27% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.

在股价下跌的三年中,中国生物制药的每股收益(EPS)每年下降9.1%。股价下跌27%实际上比每股收益的下滑幅度更大。因此,每股收益的下降很可能令市场失望,使投资者对买入犹豫不决。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1177 Earnings Per Share Growth February 12th 2024
香港交易所:1177 年每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 12 日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Sino Biopharmaceutical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们认为,内部人士在去年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。话虽如此,大多数人认为收益和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。查看这张中药收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Sino Biopharmaceutical's TSR for the last 3 years was -59%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,中国生物制药在过去3年的股东总回报率为-59%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 16% in the twelve months, Sino Biopharmaceutical shareholders did even worse, losing 34% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sino Biopharmaceutical better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Sino Biopharmaceutical .

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约16%,但中生物制药股东的表现甚至更糟,损失了34%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中6%的年化亏损还要糟糕。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解中药制药,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。为此,你应该注意我们在中国生物制药中发现的1个警告信号。

Sino Biopharmaceutical is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

中国生物制药并不是内部人士唯一买入的股票。因此,看看这份免费的内幕收购成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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