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Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Arcus Biosciences' (NYSE:RCUS) Cash Burn Situation

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Arcus Biosciences' (NYSE:RCUS) Cash Burn Situation

这就是为什么我们不太担心 Arcus Biosciences(纽约证券交易所代码:RCUS)的现金消耗情况
Simply Wall St ·  02/13 05:32

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

毫无疑问,拥有无利可图的企业的股份可以赚钱。例如,尽管Amazon.com在上市后多年亏损,但如果您自1999年以来一直买入并持有股票,您本来可以发大财。尽管如此,只有傻瓜才会忽视亏损公司过快耗尽现金的风险。

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Arcus Biosciences (NYSE:RCUS) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

鉴于这种风险,我们想看看Arcus Biosciences(纽约证券交易所代码:RCUS)的股东是否应该担心其现金消耗。在本文中,我们将现金消耗定义为其年度(负)自由现金流,即公司每年为其增长提供资金的金额。让我们首先检查一下企业的现金与其现金消耗的关系。

When Might Arcus Biosciences Run Out Of Money?

Arcus Biosciences 什么时候会没钱?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Arcus Biosciences last reported its balance sheet in September 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth US$799m. In the last year, its cash burn was US$306m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.6 years from September 2023. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

公司的现金流是指以当前的现金消耗率消耗现金储备所需的时间。当Arcus Biosciences上次于2023年9月公布其资产负债表时,其负债为零,现金价值7.99亿美元。去年,其现金消耗为3.06亿美元。因此,从2023年9月起,它的现金流约为2.6年。可以说,这是一条审慎而合理的跑道长度。如下所示,您可以看到其现金持有量随着时间的推移而发生了怎样的变化。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:RCUS Debt to Equity History February 13th 2024
纽约证券交易所:RCUS 债务与股本的比率历史记录 2024 年 2 月 13 日

Is Arcus Biosciences' Revenue Growing?

Arcus Biosciences 的收入在增长吗?

We're hesitant to extrapolate on the recent trend to assess its cash burn, because Arcus Biosciences actually had positive free cash flow last year, so operating revenue growth is probably our best bet to measure, right now. The harsh truth is that operating revenue dropped 72% in the last year, which is quite problematic for a cash burning company. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

我们不愿推断最近的趋势来评估其现金消耗,因为Arcus Biosciences去年的自由现金流实际上为正,因此营业收入增长可能是我们目前衡量的最佳选择。严酷的事实是,去年的营业收入下降了72%,这对于一家现金消耗公司来说是相当成问题的。虽然过去总是值得研究的,但最重要的是未来。因此,你可能想看看该公司在未来几年预计将增长多少。

How Easily Can Arcus Biosciences Raise Cash?

Arcus Biosciences 可以多容易地筹集资金?

Given its problematic fall in revenue, Arcus Biosciences shareholders should consider how the company could fund its growth, if it turns out it needs more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

鉴于Arcus Biosciences的收入下降存在问题,如果事实证明该公司需要更多现金,则应考虑如何为其增长提供资金。发行新股或承担债务是上市公司为其业务筹集更多资金的最常见方式。通常,企业会自行出售新股以筹集现金和推动增长。通过观察公司相对于其市值的现金消耗,我们可以深入了解如果公司需要筹集足够的现金来弥补下一年的现金消耗,股东会被稀释多少。

Arcus Biosciences has a market capitalisation of US$1.5b and burnt through US$306m last year, which is 20% of the company's market value. That's fairly notable cash burn, so if the company had to sell shares to cover the cost of another year's operations, shareholders would suffer some costly dilution.

Arcus Biosciences的市值为15亿美元,去年耗资3.06亿美元,占该公司市值的20%。这是相当明显的现金消耗,因此,如果公司不得不出售股票来支付下一年的运营成本,股东将遭受一些代价高昂的稀释。

Is Arcus Biosciences' Cash Burn A Worry?

Arcus Biosciences 的现金消耗令人担忧吗?

Even though its falling revenue makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Arcus Biosciences' cash runway was relatively promising. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Arcus Biosciences' situation. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 2 warning signs for Arcus Biosciences that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

尽管收入的下降使我们有些紧张,但我们不得不提到,我们认为Arcus Biosciences的现金流相对乐观。虽然我们是那种总是有点担心现金消耗公司所涉及的风险的投资者,但我们在本文中讨论的指标使我们对Arcus Biosciences的情况相对满意。对风险的深入研究显示,Arcus Biosciences有两个警告信号,读者在向该股投入资金之前应考虑这些信号。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,来看看这份免费的有趣公司名单以及这份成长型股票清单(根据分析师的预测)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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