Does Sinopec Oilfield Equipment (SZSE:000852) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Sinopec Oilfield Equipment (SZSE:000852) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Sinopec Oilfield Equipment Corporation (SZSE:000852) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,中石化油田设备股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000852)确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。
When Is Debt A Problem?
债务何时会成为问题?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
当企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会变得有风险。归根结底,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获地离开。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Sinopec Oilfield Equipment's Debt?
中石化油田设备的债务是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sinopec Oilfield Equipment had CN¥2.34b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥873.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.46b.
您可以点击下图查看更多详细信息,该图表显示,中石化油田设备在2023年9月有23.4亿元人民币的债务;与前一年大致相同。但是,它确实有8.730亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为14.6亿元人民币。
How Healthy Is Sinopec Oilfield Equipment's Balance Sheet?
中石化油田设备的资产负债表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sinopec Oilfield Equipment had liabilities of CN¥6.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥107.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥873.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.31b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.52b.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,中石化油田设备在12个月内到期的负债为66.0亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为1.07亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有8.730亿元人民币的现金以及价值33.1亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额25.2亿元人民币。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Sinopec Oilfield Equipment has a market capitalization of CN¥5.47b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为中石化油田设备的市值为547亿元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但很明显,我们一定要仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。
While we wouldn't worry about Sinopec Oilfield Equipment's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.1, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.8 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. More concerning, Sinopec Oilfield Equipment saw its EBIT drop by 5.4% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sinopec Oilfield Equipment's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
虽然我们不担心中石化油田设备的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率为4.1,但我们认为其1.8倍的超低利息覆盖率是高杠杆率的标志。看来该企业会产生巨额折旧和摊销费用,因此其债务负担可能比最初出现的要重,因为息税折旧摊销前利润可以说是衡量收益的丰厚指标。看来很明显,借钱成本最近对股东的回报产生了负面影响。更令人担忧的是,中石化油田设备的息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了5.4%。如果这种收益趋势持续下去,该公司在偿还债务方面将面临一场艰苦的斗争。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定中石化油田设备未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sinopec Oilfield Equipment actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是研究息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去的三年中,中石化油田设备产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。当Daft Punk音乐会的节拍下降时,这种强劲的现金转换让我们和观众一样兴奋。
Our View
我们的观点
Sinopec Oilfield Equipment's interest cover and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Sinopec Oilfield Equipment is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sinopec Oilfield Equipment (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
在我们看来,中石化油田设备的利息覆盖率和净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的比例无疑对其造成了压力。但好消息是,它似乎能够轻松地将息税前利润转换为自由现金流。从上面提到的所有角度来看,在我们看来,由于其债务,中石化油田设备确实是一项风险较大的投资。并非所有风险都是坏的,因为如果得到回报,它可以提高股价回报,但是这种债务风险值得牢记。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了中石化油田设备的 2 个警告标志(1 个让我们有点不舒服),你应该注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。