Clearway Energy's (NYSE:CWEN.A) 15% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period
Clearway Energy's (NYSE:CWEN.A) 15% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period
When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Clearway Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CWEN.A) share price is up 59% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. But if you include dividends then the return is market-beating. The last year has been disappointing, with the stock price down 28% in that time.
当你长期购买和持有股票时,你肯定希望它能提供正回报。但不仅如此,你可能希望看到它的涨幅超过市场平均水平。对于股东来说,不幸的是,尽管Clearway Energy, Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:CWEN.A)的股价在过去五年中上涨了59%,但仍低于市场回报率。但是,如果将股息包括在内,则回报率将超过市场。去年令人失望,当时股价下跌了28%。
Since it's been a strong week for Clearway Energy shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由于对Clearway Energy股东来说,这是强劲的一周,让我们来看看长期基本面的趋势。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。
Over half a decade, Clearway Energy managed to grow its earnings per share at 0.5% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 10% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 48.73.
在过去的五年中,Clearway Energy设法将其每股收益增长到每年0.5%。每股收益的增长低于股价平均年增长10%。这表明,如今,市场参与者对公司的重视程度更高。考虑到增长的记录,这并不令人震惊。这种乐观情绪体现在其相当高的市盈率48.73中。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下图中看到 EPS 随时间推移的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。一直值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。
What About Dividends?
分红呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Clearway Energy the TSR over the last 5 years was 103%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,Clearway Energy在过去5年的股东总回报率为103%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Investors in Clearway Energy had a tough year, with a total loss of 23% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 23%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 15%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Clearway Energy (1 is a bit concerning) that you should be aware of.
Clearway Energy的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总亏损了23%(包括股息),而市场涨幅约为23%。但是,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现不如市场。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚15%。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确定了Clearway Energy的4个警告信号(其中一个有点令人担忧),你应该注意这些信号。
But note: Clearway Energy may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:Clearway Energy可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。