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Shareholders 4.0% Loss in Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Partly Attributable to the Company's Decline in Earnings Over Past Five Years

Shareholders 4.0% Loss in Swire Pacific (HKG:19) Partly Attributable to the Company's Decline in Earnings Over Past Five Years

太古太平洋股东亏损4.0%(HKG: 19)部分归因于该公司过去五年收益的下降
Simply Wall St ·  02/18 23:59

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19) share price up 25% in a single quarter. It's not great that the stock is down 33% over the last five years. But the market returned an even less impressive return of 9.7%.

尽管这对某些股东来说可能还不够,但我们认为看到太古有限公司(HKG: 19)股价在单季度内上涨25%是件好事。该股在过去五年中下跌了33%,这并不好。但是市场的回报率甚至不那么令人印象深刻,为9.7%。

While the last five years has been tough for Swire Pacific shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管过去五年对太古太平洋的股东来说是艰难的,但过去一周却显示出希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看长期基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动力。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Swire Pacific moved from a loss to profitability. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

在五年的股价增长中,太古太平洋从亏损转为盈利。大多数人会认为这是一件好事,因此股价下跌是违反直觉的。其他指标可能会让我们更好地了解其价值如何随着时间的推移而变化。

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

我们注意到股息一直保持健康,因此这并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。我们目前尚不清楚为什么股价下跌,但进一步的研究可能会提供一些答案。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:19 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 19th 2024
SEHK: 19 收益及收入增长 2024 年 2 月 19 日

It is of course excellent to see how Swire Pacific has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

看到太古太平洋多年来如何增加利润当然是件好事,但未来对股东来说更为重要。可能值得一看我们的免费报告,了解其财务状况如何随着时间的推移而变化。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Swire Pacific, it has a TSR of -4.0% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。就太古太平洋而言,过去5年的股东总回报率为-4.0%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that Swire Pacific has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 15% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 0.8% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Swire Pacific is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

很高兴看到太古在过去十二个月中向股东提供了15%的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。这无疑超过了过去五年中每年约0.8%的损失。这使我们有点警惕,但该企业可能已经扭转了命运。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。即便如此,请注意,太古太平洋在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警告信号,您应该知道...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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