share_log

Is The Market Rewarding KTK Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603680) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

Is The Market Rewarding KTK Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603680) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

由于基本面喜忧参半,市场是否以负面情绪回报KTK集团有限公司(SHSE: 603680)?
Simply Wall St ·  02/20 21:12

With its stock down 29% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard KTK Group (SHSE:603680). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Particularly, we will be paying attention to KTK Group's ROE today.

KTK集团(SHSE: 603680)的股票在过去三个月中下跌了29%,很容易被忽视。但是,我们决定研究公司的财务状况,以确定它们是否与价格下跌有关。基本面通常决定市场结果,因此研究公司的财务状况是有意义的。特别是,我们今天将关注KTK集团的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for KTK Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,KTK集团的投资回报率为:

4.9% = CN¥241m ÷ CN¥4.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.9% = 2.41亿元人民币 ÷ 49亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。另一种思考方式是,公司每拥有价值1元人民币的股权,就能获得0.05元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of KTK Group's Earnings Growth And 4.9% ROE

KTK集团的收益增长和4.9%的投资回报率的并排比较

It is hard to argue that KTK Group's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.6%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 15% seen by KTK Group was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很难说KTK集团的投资回报率本身就非常好。不仅如此,即使与7.6%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。因此,说KTK集团五年来净收入下降15%可能是其投资回报率降低的结果,这可能没有错。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,该企业的资本分配不佳,或者该公司的派息率非常高。

So, as a next step, we compared KTK Group's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 12% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将KTK集团的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以12%的速度增长收益。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603680 Past Earnings Growth February 21st 2024
SHSE: 603680 过去的收益增长 2024 年 2 月 21 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if KTK Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽的水域在等着你。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查KTK集团相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is KTK Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

KTK集团是否有效地将其利润再投资?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (where it is retaining 68% of its profits), KTK Group has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管正常的三年派息率中位数为32%(保留了68%的利润),但如上所示,KTK集团的收益却有所下降。看来可能还有其他一些原因可以解释这方面的不足。例如,业务可能会下滑。

Moreover, KTK Group has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,KTK集团支付股息已有六年了,这是相当长的时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到,尽管收益一直在萎缩,但股东更喜欢持续的分红。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about KTK Group. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for KTK Group.

总的来说,我们对KTK集团有喜忧参半的感觉。尽管该公司的利润保留率确实很高,但其低回报率可能会阻碍其收益增长。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为KTK集团确定的两种风险。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发