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CSP's (NASDAQ:CSPI) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

CSP's (NASDAQ:CSPI) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

CSP(纳斯达克股票代码:CSPI)的收益可能只是起点
Simply Wall St ·  02/21 07:19

CSP Inc. (NASDAQ:CSPI) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.

CSP Inc.(纳斯达克股票代码:CSPI)刚刚公布了一些强劲的收益,市场做出了相应的反应,股价出现了健康的上涨。但是,我们的分析表明,股东可能遗漏了一些表明盈利业绩不如预期的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGM:CSPI Earnings and Revenue History February 21st 2024
NasdaqGM: CSPI 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 2 月 21 日

Zooming In On CSP's Earnings

放大CSP的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负的应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正的应计比率是负数。尽管应计比率为正(表明非现金利润达到一定水平)不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸质利润与现金流不匹配。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

CSP has an accrual ratio of -0.24 for the year to December 2023. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$9.5m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$3.91m. Notably, CSP had negative free cash flow last year, so the US$9.5m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, as we will discuss below, we can see that the company's accrual ratio has been impacted by its tax situation.

截至2023年12月的一年中,CSP的应计比率为-0.24。这意味着它的现金转化率非常好,而且其去年的收益实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。换句话说,它在此期间产生了950万美元的自由现金流,使其报告的391万美元利润相形见绌。值得注意的是,CSP去年的自由现金流为负,因此其今年产生的950万美元是一个可喜的改善。但是,正如我们将在下面讨论的那样,我们可以看到该公司的应计比率受其税收状况的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of CSP.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对CSP的资产负债表分析。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不寻常的税收状况

Moving on from the accrual ratio, we note that CSP profited from a tax benefit which contributed US$589k to profit. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth.

从应计比率来看,我们注意到CSP从一项税收优惠中获利,该优惠为利润贡献了58.9万美元。这是有意义的,因为公司通常纳税而不是获得税收优惠。当然, 初步证实 能获得税收优惠真是太好了。但是,我们的数据表明,税收优惠可以暂时增加账面当年的法定利润,但随后利润可能会回落。如果税收优惠可能不重演,我们预计其法定利润水平将下降,至少在没有强劲增长的情况下是如此。

Our Take On CSP's Profit Performance

我们对CSP利润表现的看法

In conclusion, CSP has strong cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates good quality earnings, but the tax benefit means its profit wasn't as sustainable as we'd like to see. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if CSP's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. If you'd like to know more about CSP as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CSP you should be aware of.

总之,相对于收益而言,CSP的现金流强劲,这表明收益质量良好,但税收优惠意味着其利润没有我们希望的那么可持续。基于这些因素,很难判断CSP的利润是否合理地反映了其潜在的盈利能力。如果您想进一步了解CSP作为一家企业,了解其面临的任何风险非常重要。一个很好的例子:我们发现了两个你应该注意的 CSP 警告信号。

Our examination of CSP has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对CSP的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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