NagaCorp Ltd. (HKG:3918) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 35% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 45% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, NagaCorp's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 8x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
NagaCorp certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think NagaCorp's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Enough Growth For NagaCorp?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like NagaCorp's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 66%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 74% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 20% per year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that NagaCorp's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
The large bounce in NagaCorp's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that NagaCorp maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for NagaCorp with six simple checks.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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