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Is Lao Feng Xiang (SHSE:600612) A Risky Investment?

Is Lao Feng Xiang (SHSE:600612) A Risky Investment?

老凤翔(上海证券交易所股票代码:600612)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/22 06:44

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600612) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,老凤祥有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600612)确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Lao Feng Xiang's Debt?

老凤祥的债务是什么?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Lao Feng Xiang had CN¥8.32b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥11.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.79b.

您可以点击下图了解更多详细信息,该图表显示,2023年9月,老凤祥的债务为83.2亿元人民币;与前一年大致相同。但是,它确实有111亿元人民币的现金抵消了这一点,因此净现金为27.9亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600612 Debt to Equity History February 21st 2024
SHSE: 600612 2024 年 2 月 21 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Lao Feng Xiang's Balance Sheet?

老凤祥的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lao Feng Xiang had liabilities of CN¥12.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥311.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥11.1b as well as receivables valued at CN¥6.64b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥4.85b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,老丰祥的负债为126亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为3.118亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它还有111亿元人民币的现金以及价值66.4亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有4.85亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This surplus suggests that Lao Feng Xiang is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Lao Feng Xiang boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种盈余表明老凤祥正在以一种看似既安全又保守的方式使用债务。由于它拥有充足的资产,因此不太可能与贷款人发生麻烦。简而言之,老凤祥拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

Another good sign is that Lao Feng Xiang has been able to increase its EBIT by 27% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Lao Feng Xiang can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

另一个好兆头是,老丰祥已经能够在十二个月内将其息税前利润提高27%,从而更容易偿还债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定老凤祥能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Lao Feng Xiang may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Lao Feng Xiang actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。老凤祥的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。令所有股东感到高兴的是,在过去三年中,老凤祥产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。在保持贷款人的支持方面,没有什么比流入的现金更好的了。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Lao Feng Xiang has CN¥2.79b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 103% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥4.8b. So we don't think Lao Feng Xiang's use of debt is risky. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Lao Feng Xiang, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,老凤祥拥有27.9亿元人民币的净现金和不错的资产负债表。最重要的是,它将息税前利润的103%转换为自由现金流,带来了48亿元人民币的收入。因此,我们认为老凤祥使用债务没有风险。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益,因此,如果你对老丰祥感兴趣,你很可能想点击这里查看其每股收益历史的互动图表。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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