There wouldn't be many who think Thryv Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:THRY) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Media industry in the United States is similar at about 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Thryv Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
Thryv Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Keen to find out how analysts think Thryv Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Thryv Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Thryv Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 20% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 11% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 5.8%, which paints a poor picture.
With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Thryv Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
While Thryv Holdings' P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Thryv Holdings that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Thryv Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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