Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Last week, you might have seen that Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688608) released its yearly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 8.5% to CN¥113 in the past week. Results overall were not great, with earnings of CN¥1.03 per share falling drastically short of analyst expectations. Meanwhile revenues hit CN¥2.2b and were slightly better than forecasts. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
上周,你可能已经看到百事达(上海)有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:688608)向市场发布了其年度业绩。早期的反应并不乐观,过去一周股价下跌8.5%,至113元人民币。总体业绩并不理想,每股收益为1.03元人民币,远低于分析师的预期。同时,收入达到22亿元人民币,略好于预期。对于投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以在报告中追踪公司的业绩,看看专家对明年的预测,看看对该业务的预期是否有任何变化。因此,我们收集了最新的财报后预测,以了解估计对明年的预测。
After the latest results, the eight analysts covering Bestechnic (Shanghai) are now predicting revenues of CN¥2.87b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a major 32% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 151% to CN¥2.59. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥2.72b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.82 in 2024. So it's pretty clear consensus is mixed on Bestechnic (Shanghai) after the latest results; whilethe analysts lifted revenue numbers, they also administered a minor downgrade to per-share earnings expectations.
根据最新业绩,报道Bestechnic(上海)的八位分析师现在预测2024年的收入为28.7亿元人民币。如果得到满足,这将反映出收入与过去12个月相比增长了32%。预计每股法定收益将反弹151%,至2.59元人民币。在本报告发布之前,分析师一直在模拟2024年的收入为27.2亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为2.82元人民币。因此,很明显,在最新业绩公布后,人们对Bestechnic(上海)的共识喜忧参半;尽管分析师提高了收入数字,但他们也对每股收益预期进行了小幅下调。
The consensus price target was unchanged at CN¥148, suggesting the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite some adjustments to profit and revenue forecasts. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Bestechnic (Shanghai), with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥178 and the most bearish at CN¥101 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Bestechnic (Shanghai) shareholders.
共识目标股价维持在148元人民币不变,这表明尽管对利润和收入预测进行了一些调整,但该业务的表现大致符合预期。但是,固定单一价格目标可能是不明智的,因为共识目标实际上是分析师目标股价的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢查看估计范围,看看对公司的估值是否有任何分歧。对Bestechnic(上海)的看法有所不同,最看涨的分析师将其估值为178元人民币,最看跌的为每股101元人民币。分析师对该业务的看法肯定各不相同,但我们认为,估计的分歧还不够广泛,不足以表明Bestechnic(上海)股东可能会有极端的结果。
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Bestechnic (Shanghai)'s past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Bestechnic (Shanghai)'s rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 32% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 23% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 24% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Bestechnic (Shanghai) to grow faster than the wider industry.
这些估计很有趣,但是在查看预测与Bestechnic(上海)过去的表现以及与同一行业的同行进行比较时,可以更粗略地描述一些细节。从最新估计中可以明显看出,Bestechnic(上海)的增长率预计将大幅加快,预计到2024年底的年化收入增长率为32%,将明显快于其过去五年中每年23%的历史增长。相比之下,我们的数据表明,预计类似行业的其他公司(有分析师报道)的收入将以每年24%的速度增长。显而易见,尽管增长前景比最近更加光明,但分析师也预计Bestechnic(上海)的增长速度将超过整个行业。
The Bottom Line
底线
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥148, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
要了解的最重要的一点是,分析师下调了每股收益的预期,这表明公布这些业绩后,市场情绪明显下降。令人高兴的是,他们还上调了收入预期,并预测其增长速度将超过整个行业。共识目标股价稳定在148元人民币,最新估计不足以对其目标价格产生影响。
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Bestechnic (Shanghai) analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.
考虑到这一点,我们仍然认为该业务的长期发展轨迹对于投资者来说更为重要。根据多位Bestechnic(上海)分析师的估计,到2025年,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Bestechnic (Shanghai) you should be aware of.
但是,你应该时刻考虑风险。举个例子,我们发现了你应该注意的Bestechnic(上海)的1个警告标志。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。