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Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:603858) Shareholders Have Endured a 15% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago

Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:603858) Shareholders Have Endured a 15% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago

三年前,山东步长制药(SHSE: 603858)的股东因投资该股而遭受了15%的损失
Simply Wall St ·  02/24 20:10

No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. While the Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603858) share price is down 22% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -15%. That's better than the market which declined 20% over the last three years.

当他们在股票上亏损时,没有人会喜欢它。但是在下跌的市场中可能很难赚钱。尽管山东步长制药有限公司(SHSE: 603858)的股价在过去三年中下跌了22%,但股东总回报率(包括股息)为-15%。这比过去三年下跌20%的市场要好。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals saw its share price decline over the three years in which its EPS also dropped, falling to a loss. This was, in part, due to extraordinary items impacting earnings. Due to the loss, it's not easy to use EPS as a reliable guide to the business. However, we can say we'd expect to see a falling share price in this scenario.

山东步长制药的股价在三年中下跌,其每股收益也下降至亏损。部分原因是非同寻常的项目影响了收益。由于亏损,使用EPS作为可靠的业务指南并不容易。但是,我们可以说,在这种情况下,我们预计股价将下跌。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到 EPS 随时间推移的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:603858 Earnings Per Share Growth February 25th 2024
SHSE: 603858 每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 25 日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals' TSR for the last 3 years was -15%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,山东步长制药在过去3年的股东总回报率为-15%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Although it hurts that Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals returned a loss of 11% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 17%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 0.3% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shandong Buchang Pharmaceuticals that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管山东步长制药在过去十二个月中回报了11%的亏损令人痛心,但整个市场实际上更糟,亏损了17%。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年0.3%的年化亏损还要糟糕。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,我们发现了山东步长制药的两个警告信号,在投资之前,您应该注意这些信号。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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