share_log

The Past Five-year Earnings Decline for Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd (SZSE:002406) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

The Past Five-year Earnings Decline for Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd (SZSE:002406) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

许昌远东传动轴有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002406)过去五年的收益下降可能解释了股东的长期亏损
Simply Wall St ·  02/24 21:54

It's nice to see the Xuchang Yuandong Drive Shaft Co.Ltd (SZSE:002406) share price up 13% in a week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 17% in that half decade.

很高兴看到许昌远东传动轴有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002406)的股价在一周内上涨了13%。但这并不能改变这样一个事实,即过去五年的回报并不令人满意。购买指数基金的表现要好得多,因为该股在那五年中下跌了17%。

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥445m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,该公司的市值在过去的7天内就增加了4.45亿元人民币,所以让我们看看我们能否确定是什么推动了股东五年的亏损。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Looking back five years, both Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 24% per year. The share price decline of 4% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around. The high P/E ratio of 47.70 suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.

回顾五年,许昌远东传动轴有限公司的股价和每股收益均有所下降;后者每年下降24%。股价每年下跌4%,没有每股收益的下降那么严重。股价反应相对平淡,可能是因为市场预计业务将好转。47.70的高市盈率表明股东认为未来几年收益将增长。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002406 Earnings Per Share Growth February 25th 2024
SZSE: 002406 每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 25 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。查看这张许昌远东传动轴有限公司收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -7.2%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,许昌远东传动轴有限公司在过去5年的股东总回报率为-7.2%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd shares lost 7.2% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 17%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 1.4% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

尽管许昌远东传动轴有限公司的股价全年下跌7.2%肯定令人失望,但这还没有市场17%的跌幅那么糟糕。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年1.4%的年化亏损还要糟糕。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。即便如此,请注意,许昌远东传动轴有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了4个警告信号,其中一个是令人担忧的...

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找中奖投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费名单可能只是门票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发