China Overseas Grand Oceans Group (HKG:81) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Three Years, but the Stock Hikes 24% This Past Week
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group (HKG:81) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Three Years, but the Stock Hikes 24% This Past Week
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited (HKG:81) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 24% in the last week. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. After all, the share price is down 48% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.
中国海外宏洋集团有限公司(HKG: 81)的股东应该很高兴看到上周股价上涨24%。但这无助于三年回报率不那么令人印象深刻的事实。毕竟,股价在过去三年中下跌了48%,表现大大低于市场。
While the stock has risen 24% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
尽管该股在过去一周上涨了24%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态,但让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
During the three years that the share price fell, China Overseas Grand Oceans Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 15% each year. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 20% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 2.96.
在股价下跌的三年中,中国海外宏洋集团的每股收益(EPS)每年下降15%。每股收益的下降低于股价每年20%的降幅。因此,过去市场似乎对该业务过于自信。这种更加谨慎的态度也体现在相当低的市盈率上,该比率为2.96。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。
It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of China Overseas Grand Oceans Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
可能值得注意的是,我们在上个季度看到了大量的内幕买盘,我们认为这是积极的。另一方面,我们认为收入和收益趋势是衡量业务的更有意义的指标。查看这张中国海外宏洋集团收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解收益。
What About Dividends?
分红呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China Overseas Grand Oceans Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -35%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,中国海外宏洋集团过去三年的股东总回报率为-35%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 总 股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
We regret to report that China Overseas Grand Oceans Group shareholders are down 28% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 7.5%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Overseas Grand Oceans Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for China Overseas Grand Oceans Group (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
我们遗憾地报告,中国海外宏洋集团的股东今年下跌了28%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场7.5%的跌幅还要严重。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临1.3%的总亏损。总的来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股以期出现转机。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解中国海外大洋集团,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现了中国海外宏洋集团的 3 个警告标志(1 个对我们来说不太合适!)在这里投资之前,您应该注意这一点。
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
还有很多其他公司有内部人士购买股票。你可能不想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。