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Shanghai Chemspec (SHSE:688602) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Shanghai Chemspec (SHSE:688602) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

上海化工集团(上海证券交易所代码:688602)似乎非常明智地使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  02/27 17:41

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shanghai Chemspec Corporation (SHSE:688602) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,上海凯博股份有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:688602)也使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它用高回报率进行再投资的能力取代了公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Shanghai Chemspec's Net Debt?

上海凯博的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Shanghai Chemspec had CN¥220.5m of debt, up from CN¥200.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.16b in cash, so it actually has CN¥944.4m net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,上海化工集团的债务为2.205亿元人民币,高于去年同期的2.04亿元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有11.6亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有9.444亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688602 Debt to Equity History February 27th 2024
SHSE: 688602 2024 年 2 月 27 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Shanghai Chemspec's Liabilities

看看上海化工的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Chemspec had liabilities of CN¥445.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥116.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.16b in cash and CN¥359.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥962.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,上海化工的负债为4.459亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为1.16亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有11.6亿元的现金和3.597亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出9.627亿元人民币 负债。

It's good to see that Shanghai Chemspec has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Shanghai Chemspec boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

很高兴看到上海Chemspec的资产负债表上有充足的流动性,这表明对负债的管理比较保守。由于其强大的净资产状况,它不太可能面临贷款人的问题。简而言之,上海Chemspec拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

In fact Shanghai Chemspec's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 21% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shanghai Chemspec's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

实际上,上海Chemspec的救命之处在于其低债务水平,因为其息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了21%。在还清债务方面,收入下降对健康的作用并不比含糖的苏打水更有用。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是上海Chemspec的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Shanghai Chemspec has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Shanghai Chemspec burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。尽管上海Chemspec的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,上海Chemspec烧掉了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Chemspec has net cash of CN¥944.4m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Shanghai Chemspec's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Chemspec you should be aware of.

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,上海化工集团的净现金为9.444亿元人民币,流动资产比负债还多。因此,我们对上海Chemspec的债务使用并不感到困扰。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。一个很好的例子:我们发现了你应该注意的上海 Chemspec 的一个警告信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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