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Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

浙江合川科技股份有限公司刚刚错过收益——但分析师已经更新了模型
Simply Wall St ·  02/27 18:43

As you might know, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688320) last week released its latest full-year, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. Results showed a clear earnings miss, with CN¥1.1b revenue coming in 6.4% lower than what the analystsexpected. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.35 missed the mark badly, arriving some 42% below what was expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

你可能知道,浙江合川科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 688320)上周发布了最新的全年业绩,但对股东来说情况并不那么好。结果显示盈利明显下滑,11亿元人民币的收入比分析师的预期低6.4%。0.35元人民币的法定每股收益(EPS)严重未达到目标,比预期低约42%。对于投资者来说,盈利是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以追踪公司的业绩,查看分析师对明年的预测,看看对公司的情绪是否发生了变化。根据这些结果,我们收集了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师是否改变了盈利模式。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:688320 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 27th 2024
SHSE: 688320 2024 年 2 月 27 日收益和收入增长

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Zhejiang Hechuan Technology from twin analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.27b in 2024. If met, it would imply a decent 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 70% to CN¥0.60. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥1.60b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.90 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's prospects following the latest results, administering a pretty serious reduction to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

考虑到最新业绩,两位分析师对浙江合川科技的最新共识是,2024年的收入为12.7亿元人民币。如果得到满足,这意味着其收入在过去12个月中将大幅增长13%。每股收益预计将增长70%,至0.60元人民币。在本报告发布之前,分析师一直在模拟2024年的收入为16.0亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为0.90元人民币。事实上,我们可以看到,在最新业绩公布后,分析师对浙江合川科技的前景更加悲观,他们大幅下调了收入预期,并下调了每股收益预期。

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 5.5% to CN¥34.60.

因此,得知分析师已将目标股价下调5.5%至34.60元人民币也就不足为奇了。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 13% annualised growth rate until the end of 2024 being well below the historical 23% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 19% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Zhejiang Hechuan Technology.

从现在的大局来看,我们可以理解这些预测的方法之一是看看它们如何与过去的业绩和行业增长预期相比较。我们要强调的是,浙江合川科技的收入增长预计将放缓,预计到2024年底的年化增长率为13%,远低于过去五年23%的历史年增长率。相比之下,该行业中其他有分析师报道的公司的收入预计将以每年19%的速度增长。因此,很明显,尽管收入增长预计将放缓,但整个行业的增长速度预计也将超过浙江合川科技。

The Bottom Line

底线

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

要了解的最重要的一点是,分析师下调了每股收益的预期,这表明公布这些业绩后,市场情绪明显下降。不利的一面是,他们还下调了收入预期,预测表明他们的表现将比整个行业差。此外,分析师还下调了目标股价,这表明最新消息加剧了人们对业务内在价值的悲观情绪。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have analyst estimates for Zhejiang Hechuan Technology going out as far as 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

根据这种思路,我们认为该业务的长期前景比明年的收益重要得多。根据分析师的估计,浙江合川科技的上市时间将持续到2025年,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Hechuan Technology that you should be aware of.

别忘了可能仍然存在风险。例如,我们已经确定了浙江合川科技的1个警告标志,你应该注意这一点。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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