Is Hunan Kylinsec Technology (SHSE:688152) A Risky Investment?
Is Hunan Kylinsec Technology (SHSE:688152) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688152) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。与许多其他公司一样,湖南麒麟安全科技股份有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:688152)也使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
How Much Debt Does Hunan Kylinsec Technology Carry?
湖南麒麟科技背负了多少债务?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Hunan Kylinsec Technology had debt of CN¥32.9m, up from none in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥809.5m in cash, so it actually has CN¥776.6m net cash.
您可以点击下图查看更多细节,该图片显示,截至2023年9月,湖南麒麟科技的债务为3,290万元人民币,高于一年内的零债务。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有8.095亿元的现金,因此实际上拥有7.766亿元的净现金。
How Strong Is Hunan Kylinsec Technology's Balance Sheet?
湖南麒麟科技的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hunan Kylinsec Technology had liabilities of CN¥126.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥29.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥809.5m as well as receivables valued at CN¥334.2m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥987.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,湖南麒麟科技的负债为1.267亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为2940万元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有8.095亿元的现金以及价值3.342亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出9.876亿元人民币 总 负债。
It's good to see that Hunan Kylinsec Technology has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Hunan Kylinsec Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hunan Kylinsec Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
很高兴看到湖南凯林证券科技的资产负债表上有充足的流动性,这表明对负债的管理比较保守。鉴于它很容易拥有足够的短期流动性,我们认为其贷款机构不会有任何问题。简而言之,湖南麒麟科技的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定湖南麒麟安全科技能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
Over 12 months, Hunan Kylinsec Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥170m, which is a fall of 58%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
在过去的12个月中,湖南麒麟科技在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入下降至1.7亿元人民币,下降了58%。坦率地说,这并不是一个好兆头。
So How Risky Is Hunan Kylinsec Technology?
那么湖南麒麟科技的风险有多大呢?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Hunan Kylinsec Technology lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥57m and booked a CN¥30m accounting loss. With only CN¥776.6m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hunan Kylinsec Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.
我们毫不怀疑,总的来说,亏损公司比盈利的公司风险更大。事实是,在过去的十二个月中,湖南Kylinsec Technology的息税前收益(EBIT)额度出现了亏损。同期,它的自由现金流出为负5700万元人民币,出现了3000万元人民币的会计亏损。由于资产负债表上只有7.766亿元人民币,看来它需要很快再次筹集资金。总体而言,其资产负债表目前似乎风险不大,但在看到正自由现金流之前,我们始终保持谨慎。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们发现了湖南麒麟安全科技的1个警告信号,在这里投资之前,你应该注意这个信号。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。