share_log

Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688590) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688590) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

上海新触软件有限公司's(SHSE: 688590)股票正在上涨但财务状况看起来模棱两可:势头会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/27 21:54

Shanghai Newtouch Software (SHSE:688590) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 16% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Newtouch Software's ROE today.

上海新触软件(上海证券交易所代码:688590)在股票市场上表现良好,其股票上周大幅上涨了16%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。特别是,我们今天将关注上海新触软件的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Newtouch Software is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海新触软件的投资回报率为:

4.9% = CN¥71m ÷ CN¥1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

4.9% = 7100万元人民币 ÷ 14亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.05元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Shanghai Newtouch Software's Earnings Growth And 4.9% ROE

上海新触软件的收益增长和4.9%的投资回报率

As you can see, Shanghai Newtouch Software's ROE looks pretty weak. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.6%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 35% seen by Shanghai Newtouch Software over the last five years is not surprising.

如你所见,上海新触软件的投资回报率看起来相当疲软。此外,我们注意到该公司的投资回报率与行业平均水平的5.6%相似。在这种情况下,上海新触软件在过去五年中净收入大幅下降了35%,这并不奇怪。

So, as a next step, we compared Shanghai Newtouch Software's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 7.5% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将上海新触软件的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以7.5%的速度增长收益。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688590 Past Earnings Growth February 28th 2024
SHSE: 688590 过去的收益增长 2024 年 2 月 28 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Newtouch Software is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,你可能需要检查一下相对于其行业,上海新触软件的市盈率是高还是低。

Is Shanghai Newtouch Software Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海 Newtouch Software 是否有效地将其利润再投资?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

尽管该公司过去确实支付了部分股息,但目前不支付股息。这意味着其所有利润都可能被再投资于该业务。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Newtouch Software can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Newtouch Software.

总的来说,我们认为上海新触软件所表现出的表现可以有多种解释。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为上海新触软件确定的三种风险。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发