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Investors in National Fuel Gas (NYSE:NFG) Have Unfortunately Lost 2.8% Over the Last Five Years

Investors in National Fuel Gas (NYSE:NFG) Have Unfortunately Lost 2.8% Over the Last Five Years

不幸的是,国家燃气公司(纽约证券交易所代码:NFG)的投资者在过去五年中损失了2.8%
Simply Wall St ·  02/29 20:12

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in National Fuel Gas Company (NYSE:NFG), since the last five years saw the share price fall 19%.

对于许多人来说,投资的要点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但是在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会好坏参半。目前,一些股东可能会质疑他们对国家燃气公司(纽约证券交易所代码:NFG)的投资,因为在过去五年中,股价下跌了19%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During five years of share price growth, National Fuel Gas moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

在股价增长的五年中,National Fuel Gas从亏损转为盈利。这通常会被视为利好,因此我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。其他指标可能会让我们更好地了解其价值如何随着时间的推移而变化。

The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

稳定的股息并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。我们目前尚不清楚为什么股价下跌,但进一步的研究可能会提供一些答案。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:NFG Earnings and Revenue Growth February 29th 2024
纽约证券交易所:NFG收益和收入增长 2024年2月29日

We know that National Fuel Gas has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

我们知道National Fuel Gas在过去三年中提高了利润,但是未来会发生什么?您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of National Fuel Gas, it has a TSR of -2.8% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。就国家燃气公司而言,过去5年的股东总回报率为-2.8%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 28% in the last year, National Fuel Gas shareholders lost 12% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 0.5% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for National Fuel Gas that you should be aware of.

尽管去年整体市场上涨了约28%,但国家燃料天然气股东损失了12%(甚至包括股息)。但是,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现不如市场。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年0.5%的年化亏损还要糟糕。总的来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股以期出现转机。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确定了两个国家燃气警告标志,你应该注意这两个警告。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,请看一下我们预计收益将增加的这份免费公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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