Triductor Technology (Suzhou) Inc. (SHSE:688259) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 34% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, Triductor Technology (Suzhou) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 72x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Triductor Technology (Suzhou) has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Is There Enough Growth For Triductor Technology (Suzhou)?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Triductor Technology (Suzhou)'s is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 35%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 34% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 69% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 41%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Triductor Technology (Suzhou)'s P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Triductor Technology (Suzhou)'s P/E?
The strong share price surge has got Triductor Technology (Suzhou)'s P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Triductor Technology (Suzhou)'s analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Triductor Technology (Suzhou) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Triductor Technology (Suzhou), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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