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Weak Financial Prospects Seem To Be Dragging Down Shunfa Hengye Corporation (SZSE:000631) Stock

Weak Financial Prospects Seem To Be Dragging Down Shunfa Hengye Corporation (SZSE:000631) Stock

疲软的财务前景似乎拖累了顺发恒业公司(SZSE: 000631)的股票
Simply Wall St ·  03/05 18:01

With its stock down 20% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Shunfa Hengye (SZSE:000631). Given that stock prices are usually driven by a company's fundamentals over the long term, which in this case look pretty weak, we decided to study the company's key financial indicators. Specifically, we decided to study Shunfa Hengye's ROE in this article.

由于其股票在过去三个月中下跌了20%,因此很容易忽视顺发恒业(深圳证券交易所代码:000631)。鉴于从长远来看,股票价格通常由公司的基本面驱动,在这种情况下,基本面看起来相当疲软,我们决定研究该公司的关键财务指标。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究顺发恒业的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shunfa Hengye is:

因此,根据上述公式,顺发恒业的投资回报率为:

5.4% = CN¥320m ÷ CN¥5.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

5.4% = 3.2亿元人民币 ÷ 59亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。另一种看法是,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就能获得0.05元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shunfa Hengye's Earnings Growth And 5.4% ROE

顺发恒业的收益增长和5.4%的投资回报率的并排比较

On the face of it, Shunfa Hengye's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.4%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Shunfa Hengye's five year net income decline rate was 45%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

从表面上看,顺发恒业的投资回报率没什么好谈的。但是,其投资回报率与行业平均水平的5.4%相似,因此我们不会完全解散该公司。话虽如此,顺发恒业五年净收入下降率为45%。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。因此,收入的下降也可能是由此造成的。

Next, when we compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 5.2% in the same 5-year period, we still found Shunfa Hengye's performance to be quite bleak, because the company has been shrinking its earnings faster than the industry.

接下来,当我们与该行业进行比较时,该行业在5年同期将收益缩减了5.2%,我们仍然发现顺发恒业的表现相当惨淡,因为该公司的收益萎缩速度快于该行业。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000631 Past Earnings Growth March 5th 2024
SZSE: 000631 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 5 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is 000631 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。000631 估值合理吗?这张关于公司内在价值的信息图包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Shunfa Hengye Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

顺发恒业是否有效地将其利润再投资?

With a three-year median payout ratio as high as 378%,Shunfa Hengye's shrinking earnings don't come as a surprise as the company is paying a dividend which is beyond its means. Its usually very hard to sustain dividend payments that are higher than reported profits. Our risks dashboard should have the 4 risks we have identified for Shunfa Hengye.

顺发恒业的三年派息率中位数高达378%,收益的萎缩并不令人意外,因为该公司正在支付超出其承受能力的股息。通常很难维持高于报告利润的股息支付。我们的风险仪表板应包含我们为顺发恒业确定的4种风险。

Additionally, Shunfa Hengye has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,顺发恒业已在至少十年内派发了股息,这意味着即使收益增长微乎其微,公司的管理层也决心派发股息。

Summary

摘要

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Shunfa Hengye. Specifically, it has shown quite an unsatisfactory performance as far as earnings growth is concerned, and a poor ROE and an equally poor rate of reinvestment seem to be the reason behind this inadequate performance. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. You can do your own research on Shunfa Hengye and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

总的来说,在决定任何与顺发恒业有关的投资行动之前,我们会经过深思熟虑。具体而言,就收益增长而言,它的表现相当不令人满意,而糟糕的投资回报率和同样糟糕的再投资率似乎是表现不佳的原因。到目前为止,我们只是通过研究公司的基本面来摸清公司过去业绩的表面。你可以自己研究顺发恒业,看看这张免费的过去收益、收入和现金流的详细图表,看看它过去的表现。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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