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Perfect World (SZSE:002624) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 46% If They Invested Three Years Ago

Perfect World (SZSE:002624) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 46% If They Invested Three Years Ago

完美世界(SZSE:002624)如果投资者在三年前进行投资,他们将蒙受46%的损失
Simply Wall St ·  03/05 20:52

Perfect World Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002624) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 14% in the last month. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. After all, the share price is down 52% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.

完美世界有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002624)的股东应该很高兴看到上个月股价上涨了14%。但这并不能掩盖过去三年来不那么令人印象深刻的回报。毕竟,股价在过去三年中下跌了52%,表现大大低于市场。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在让我们来看看公司的基本面,看看长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the three years that the share price fell, Perfect World's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 33% each year. In comparison the 22% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term.

在股价下跌的三年中,完美世界的每股收益(EPS)每年下降33%。相比之下,22%的复合年股价下跌幅度没有每股收益的下降那么严重。因此,尽管此前曾令人失望,但股东必须有一定的信心,从长远来看,情况会有所改善。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002624 Earnings Per Share Growth March 6th 2024
SZSE: 002624 每股收益增长 2024 年 3 月 6 日

This free interactive report on Perfect World's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于完美世界收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Perfect World the TSR over the last 3 years was -46%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。我们注意到,完美世界在过去3年的股东总回报率为-46%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that Perfect World shareholders are down 18% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 16%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 8% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Perfect World (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

我们遗憾地报告,完美世界的股东今年下跌了18%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场16%的跌幅还要严重。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本发展。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临8%的总亏损。总的来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股以期出现转机。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,我们发现了 3 个完美世界的警告信号(1 个很重要!)在这里投资之前,您应该注意这一点。

Of course Perfect World may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,完美世界可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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