Those holding Shenzhen MTC Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002429) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 22% is also fairly reasonable.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Shenzhen MTC's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Consumer Durables industry is similar at about 1.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
SZSE:002429 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024
How Shenzhen MTC Has Been Performing
Shenzhen MTC certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shenzhen MTC.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Shenzhen MTC's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 9.5% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 8.4% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 24% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 12%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Shenzhen MTC's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What Does Shenzhen MTC's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shenzhen MTC's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Looking at Shenzhen MTC's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Having said that, be aware Shenzhen MTC is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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