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Is Henan Shijia Photons Technology (SHSE:688313) A Risky Investment?

Is Henan Shijia Photons Technology (SHSE:688313) A Risky Investment?

河南世佳光子科技(上海证券交易所股票代码:688313)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/07 00:03

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Henan Shijia Photons Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688313) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,河南世佳光子科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 688313)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Henan Shijia Photons Technology Carry?

河南世佳光子科技背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Henan Shijia Photons Technology had CN¥11.8m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥428.9m in cash, leading to a CN¥417.0m net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,河南世佳光子科技在一年内有1180万元人民币的债务,比零有所增加。但另一方面,它也有4.289亿元的现金,净现金状况为4.17亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688313 Debt to Equity History March 7th 2024
SHSE: 688313 2024 年 3 月 7 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Henan Shijia Photons Technology's Balance Sheet?

河南世佳光子科技的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Henan Shijia Photons Technology had liabilities of CN¥210.2m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥111.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥428.9m as well as receivables valued at CN¥340.9m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥448.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,河南世佳光子科技的负债为2.102亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为1.114亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它有4.289亿元的现金以及价值3.409亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出4.481亿元人民币 负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Henan Shijia Photons Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Henan Shijia Photons Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Henan Shijia Photons Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这种短期流动性表明,河南世佳光子科技可能会轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远未捉襟见肘。简而言之,河南世佳光子科技的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益将决定河南世佳光子科技未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Henan Shijia Photons Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥755m, which is a fall of 16%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在过去的12个月中,河南世佳光子科技在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入下降至7.55亿元人民币,下降了16%。这不是我们希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Henan Shijia Photons Technology?

那么河南世佳光子科技的风险有多大?

Although Henan Shijia Photons Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥48m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Henan Shijia Photons Technology you should know about.

尽管河南世佳光子科技在过去十二个月中出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损,但它创造了4,800万元人民币的正自由现金流。因此,从面值来看,考虑到净现金状况,我们认为该股在短期内风险不大。鉴于收入增长乏善可陈,一旦息税前利润为正,我们将对该股感到更加满意。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了一个你应该知道的河南世佳光子科技的警告标志。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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