Luxfer Holdings PLC (NYSE:LXFR) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 35% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may still consider Luxfer Holdings as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
NYSE:LXFR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024
What Does Luxfer Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Luxfer Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Luxfer Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Luxfer Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.3% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 25% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 8.9% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 1.2%.
With this information, we are not surprised that Luxfer Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Luxfer Holdings' P/S
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Luxfer Holdings' P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Luxfer Holdings' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Luxfer Holdings' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Luxfer Holdings that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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