Kunlun Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300418) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 64%.
Following the firm bounce in price, Kunlun Tech may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10x, since almost half of all companies in the Entertainment in China have P/S ratios under 6.8x and even P/S lower than 3x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Kunlun Tech Has Been Performing
Recent revenue growth for Kunlun Tech has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Kunlun Tech will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is Kunlun Tech's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kunlun Tech would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.2%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 32% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.7% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 32% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it concerning that Kunlun Tech is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Kunlun Tech's P/S
The large bounce in Kunlun Tech's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Kunlun Tech, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Kunlun Tech (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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