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Is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine (SHSE:600616) Using Debt Sensibly?

Is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine (SHSE:600616) Using Debt Sensibly?

上海金丰酒业(SHSE: 600616)是否明智地使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  03/11 20:24

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shanghai Jinfeng Wine Company Limited (SHSE:600616) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,上海金丰酒业有限公司(SHSE: 600616)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会变得有风险。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然很痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事就是综合考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine's Debt?

上海金丰酒业的债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Shanghai Jinfeng Wine had CN¥38.8m of debt, up from CN¥31.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥892.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥853.7m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,上海金丰酒业的债务为3,880万元人民币,高于去年同期的3170万元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,它确实有8.925亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为8.537亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600616 Debt to Equity History March 12th 2024
SHSE: 600616 2024 年 3 月 12 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine's Balance Sheet?

上海金丰酒业的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Jinfeng Wine had liabilities of CN¥223.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥67.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥892.5m in cash and CN¥87.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥689.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看出,上海金丰酒业在12个月内到期的负债为2.231亿元人民币,在此之后到期的负债为6,780万元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有8.925亿元的现金和8,770万元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有6.892亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

It's good to see that Shanghai Jinfeng Wine has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Jinfeng Wine has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

很高兴看到上海金丰酒业的资产负债表上有充足的流动性,这表明对负债的管理比较保守。由于它拥有充足的资产,因此不太可能与贷款人发生麻烦。简而言之,上海金丰酒业的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是上海金丰酒业的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

In the last year Shanghai Jinfeng Wine had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 7.1%, to CN¥606m. That's not what we would hope to see.

去年,上海金丰酒业在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了7.1%,至6.06亿元人民币。这不是我们希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Shanghai Jinfeng Wine?

那么上海金丰酒业的风险有多大?

While Shanghai Jinfeng Wine lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥140m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Shanghai Jinfeng Wine has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

尽管上海金丰酒业在息税前收益(EBIT)水平上出现亏损,但其实际账面利润为1.4亿元人民币。因此,从面值来看,考虑到现金,我们认为短期内风险不大。鉴于收入增长乏善可陈,一旦息税前利润为正,我们将对该股感到更加满意。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,上海金丰酒业有 1 个警告标志,我们认为您应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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