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Is Innovation New Material Technology (SHSE:600361) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Innovation New Material Technology (SHSE:600361) Using Too Much Debt?

创新新材料科技(SHSE: 600361)是否使用过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  03/12 21:33

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Innovation New Material Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600361) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,创新新材料技术有限公司(SHSE:600361)也使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Innovation New Material Technology's Net Debt?

创新新材料科技的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Innovation New Material Technology had CN¥7.34b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.73b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥4.16b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥3.18b.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,创新新材料科技在一年内有73.4亿元人民币的债务,比17.3亿加元人民币有所增加。但是,由于其现金储备为41.6亿元人民币,其净负债较少,约为31.8亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600361 Debt to Equity History March 13th 2024
SHSE: 600361 2024 年 3 月 13 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Innovation New Material Technology's Liabilities

看看创新新材料技术的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Innovation New Material Technology had liabilities of CN¥7.09b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.67b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.16b in cash and CN¥3.38b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥2.22b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,创新新材料科技的负债为70.9亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为26.7亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有41.6亿元的现金和33.8亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出22.2亿元人民币。

Given Innovation New Material Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥18.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

鉴于创新新材料科技的市值为182亿元人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大的威胁。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

Innovation New Material Technology has net debt worth 1.7 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 4.4 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Shareholders should be aware that Innovation New Material Technology's EBIT was down 44% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Innovation New Material Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Innovation New Material Technology的净负债价值是息税折旧摊销前利润的1.7倍,这并不算多,但其利息保障范围看起来有点偏低,息税前利润仅为利息支出的4.4倍。尽管这些数字并没有使我们感到震惊,但值得注意的是,公司的债务成本正在产生实际影响。股东们应该意识到,创新新材料科技去年的息税前利润下降了44%。如果这种下降持续下去,那么偿还债务将比在素食大会上出售鹅肝更难。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定创新新材料技术能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Innovation New Material Technology burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,创新新材料技术消耗了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Innovation New Material Technology's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Innovation New Material Technology has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Innovation New Material Technology (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

坦率地说,Innovation New Material Technology将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,以及其(不)增长息税前利润的往绩都使我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。话虽如此,它处理总负债的能力并不令人担忧。总体而言,我们认为可以公平地说,创新新材料技术有足够的债务,资产负债表周围存在一些实际风险。如果一切顺利,可能会得到回报,但这笔债务的不利之处是永久损失的风险更大。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了 3 个创新新材料技术的警告信号(其中 1 个对我们来说不太合适!)你应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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