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What Is Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited's (SZSE:000625) Share Price Doing?

What Is Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited's (SZSE:000625) Share Price Doing?

重庆长安汽车有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000625)的股价在做什么?
Simply Wall St ·  03/12 23:32

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited (SZSE:000625). The company's stock received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the SZSE over the last few months. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Chongqing Changan Automobile's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

今天我们要来看看历史悠久的重庆长安汽车有限公司(SZSE: 000625)。在过去的几个月中,深交所的价格大幅上涨,该公司的股票引起了广泛关注。尽管仍未达到年度峰值,但最近股价的上涨推动该公司朝着正确的方向前进。由于许多分析师都在报道这只大盘股,我们可能预计,任何对价格敏感的公告都已计入该股的股价。但是,该股票还能以相对便宜的价格交易吗?今天我们将分析重庆长安汽车前景和估值的最新数据,看看机会是否仍然存在。

Is Chongqing Changan Automobile Still Cheap?

重庆长安汽车还便宜吗?

According to our valuation model, Chongqing Changan Automobile seems to be fairly priced at around 12% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Chongqing Changan Automobile today, you'd be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company's true value is CN¥18.11, then there isn't much room for the share price grow beyond what it's currently trading. Furthermore, Chongqing Changan Automobile's low beta implies that the stock is less volatile than the wider market.

根据我们的估值模型,重庆长安汽车的定价似乎相当合理,比我们的内在价值低约12%,这意味着如果你今天购买重庆长安汽车,你将为此付出合理的代价。而且,如果你认为该公司的真实价值为18.11元人民币,那么除了目前的交易价格外,股价没有太大的上涨空间。此外,重庆长安汽车的低贝塔值意味着该股的波动性小于整个市场。

Can we expect growth from Chongqing Changan Automobile?

我们能指望重庆长安汽车的增长吗?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000625 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 13th 2024
SZSE: 000625 2024年3月13日收益和收入增长

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Chongqing Changan Automobile, at least in the near future.

寻求投资组合增长的投资者可能需要在购买公司股票之前考虑公司的前景。尽管价值投资者会争辩说,最重要的是相对于价格的内在价值,但更有说服力的投资论点是以低廉的价格获得高增长潜力。但是,由于预计未来几年利润将出现极其负的两位数变化,因此短期增长肯定不是买入决定的驱动力。重庆长安汽车似乎面临很大的不确定性,至少在不久的将来是如此。

What This Means For You

这对你意味着什么

Are you a shareholder? Currently, 000625 appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

你是股东吗?目前,000625似乎围绕其公允价值进行交易,但鉴于未来负回报带来的不确定性,这可能是降低投资组合风险的合适时机。您目前的股票敞口是否最适合您的整个投资组合?持有负面展望股票的机会成本是否过高?在对股票做出决定之前,请先看看其基本面是否发生了变化。

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 000625 for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there's less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help crystalize your views on 000625 should the price fluctuate below its true value.

你是潜在的投资者吗?如果您对000625的关注已有一段时间,那么鉴于其交易价格接近其公允价值,现在可能不是最佳的买入时机。该股似乎以公允价值交易,这意味着错误定价带来的好处较小。除此之外,负增长前景增加了持有股票的风险。但是,我们今天还没有考虑其他重要因素,如果价格波动低于其真实价值,这些因素可以帮助您明确对000625的看法。

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is potentially serious!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Chongqing Changan Automobile.

有鉴于此,如果你想对公司进行更多分析,了解所涉及的风险至关重要。为了帮助解决这个问题,我们发现了 2 个警告信号(1 个可能很严重!)在购买重庆长安汽车的任何股票之前,你应该注意这一点。

If you are no longer interested in Chongqing Changan Automobile, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您不再对重庆长安汽车感兴趣,可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们列出的其他50多只具有高增长潜力的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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