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Gentherm Incorporated's (NASDAQ:THRM) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Gentherm Incorporated's (NASDAQ:THRM) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Gentherm Incorporated(纳斯达克股票代码:THRM)的股票正在上涨,但财务状况看起来模棱两可:势头会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/15 07:19

Most readers would already be aware that Gentherm's (NASDAQ:THRM) stock increased significantly by 12% over the past month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Gentherm's ROE today.

大多数读者已经意识到,Gentherm(纳斯达克股票代码:THRM)的股票在过去一个月中大幅上涨了12%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。特别是,我们今天将关注Gentherm的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gentherm is:

因此,根据上述公式,Gentherm的投资回报率为:

6.3% = US$40m ÷ US$645m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

6.3% = 4000万美元 ÷ 6.45亿美元(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.06 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。概念化这一点的一种方法是,公司每拥有1美元的股东资本,就会获得0.06美元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Gentherm's Earnings Growth And 6.3% ROE

Gentherm的收益增长和6.3%的投资回报率的并排比较

At first glance, Gentherm's ROE doesn't look very promising. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 12% either. For this reason, Gentherm's five year net income decline of 3.5% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

乍一看,Gentherm的投资回报率看起来并不十分乐观。一项快速的进一步研究表明,该公司的投资回报率与行业平均水平的12%相比也并不理想。出于这个原因,鉴于投资回报率较低,Gentherm的五年净收入下降了3.5%,这并不奇怪。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,企业的资本分配可能不力,或者公司的派息率很高。

So, as a next step, we compared Gentherm's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 11% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将Gentherm的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业的收益在过去几年中一直以11%的速度增长。

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:THRM Past Earnings Growth March 15th 2024
纳斯达克GS:THRM 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 15 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is THRM fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。THRM 的价值是否合理?这张关于公司内在价值的信息图包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Gentherm Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Gentherm 是否能有效地对其利润进行再投资?

Gentherm doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Gentherm不支付任何股息,这意味着其所有利润都可能被再投资于该业务,这并不能解释为什么如果该公司保留所有利润,其收益就会萎缩。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Summary

摘要

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Gentherm's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们对Gentherm的表现有点矛盾。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。既然如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师预计公司的收益增长率将得到巨大改善。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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