Those holding Guangzhou Lushan New Materials Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603051) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 48% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, Guangzhou Lushan New Materials may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
SHSE:603051 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2024
What Does Guangzhou Lushan New Materials' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Guangzhou Lushan New Materials over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Guangzhou Lushan New Materials will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangzhou Lushan New Materials, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Guangzhou Lushan New Materials' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 188% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Guangzhou Lushan New Materials is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Guangzhou Lushan New Materials' P/S
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Guangzhou Lushan New Materials' P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We're very surprised to see Guangzhou Lushan New Materials currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Guangzhou Lushan New Materials (of which 3 are significant!) you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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