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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002646)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002646)?

股价下跌和财务状况良好:市场对青海互助天有德高地青蒿酒有限公司(SZSE:002646)的看法错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/15 19:59

With its stock down 16% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit (SZSE:002646). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's ROE.

由于其库存在过去三个月中下跌了16%,人们很容易忽视青海互助天友德高地大麦酒(深圳证券交易所:002646)。但是,如果你密切关注,你可能会发现其关键财务指标看起来相当不错,考虑到市场通常会奖励更具弹性的长期基本面,这可能意味着该股有可能在长期内上涨。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点介绍青海互助天友德高地大麦酒的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit is:

因此,根据上述公式,青海互助天有德高地青蒿烈酒的投资回报率为:

2.8% = CN¥78m ÷ CN¥2.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

2.8% = 7800万元人民币 ÷ 28亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

“回报” 是每年的利润。因此,这意味着其股东每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.03CN的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's Earnings Growth And 2.8% ROE

青海互助天友德高地大麦酒的收益增长和2.8%的投资回报率

As you can see, Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 13%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. In spite of this, Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 26% in the last five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

如你所见,青海互助天友德高地大麦酒的投资回报率看起来相当疲软。不仅如此,即使与行业平均水平的13%相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。尽管如此,青海互助天友德高地大麦酒的净收入仍大幅增长,在过去五年中增长了26%。因此,这种增长背后可能还有其他原因。例如——高收益留存率或实行高效管理。

We then compared Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 16% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将青海互助天友德高地大麦酒的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,我们很高兴地看到,与同期同期增长率为16%的行业相比,该公司的增长数字更高。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002646 Past Earnings Growth March 15th 2024
SZSE: 002646 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 15 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。与其他公司相比,青海互助天有德高地大麦酒的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

青海互助天有德高地大麦酒是否能有效地将利润再投资?

Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit has a three-year median payout ratio of 35% (where it is retaining 65% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. So it seems that Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

青海互助天友德高原大麦酒的三年中位数派息率为35%(保留了收入的65%),不太低或不太高。因此,看来青海互助天友德高原大麦酒正在进行有效的再投资,其收益实现了可观的增长(如上所述),并支付的股息覆盖范围广。

Additionally, Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 45% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit is speculated to rise to 6.3% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,青海互助天友德高地大麦酒已在至少十年内派发了股息,这意味着该公司非常认真地与股东分享利润。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内升至45%。无论如何,尽管预计派息率将提高,但青海互助天友德高地大麦酒的未来投资回报率预计将升至6.3%。可能还有其他因素可能推动投资回报率的未来增长。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们认为青海互助天友德高地大麦酒确实有一些积极因素需要考虑。尽管回报率很低,但由于对业务进行了大量再投资,该公司的收益增长令人印象深刻。话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,该公司的收益有望加速。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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