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Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002378) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002378) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

崇义章源钨业有限公司's (SZSE: 002378) 股票处于上升趋势:基本面能否推动势头?
Simply Wall St ·  03/15 20:37

Most readers would already be aware that Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's (SZSE:002378) stock increased significantly by 15% over the past month. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. In this article, we decided to focus on Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's ROE.

大多数读者已经意识到,崇义章源钨业(深圳证券交易所:002378)的股票在过去一个月中大幅上涨了15%。鉴于股票价格通常与公司的长期财务表现一致,我们决定更仔细地研究其财务指标,看看它们在近期的价格变动中是否有机会发挥作用。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点介绍崇义章源钨业的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten is:

因此,根据上述公式,崇义章源钨业的投资回报率为:

7.3% = CN¥147m ÷ CN¥2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

7.3% = 1.47亿元人民币 ÷ 2.0亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.07 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。另一种看法是,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就能获得0.07元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

A Side By Side comparison of Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's Earnings Growth And 7.3% ROE

崇义章源钨业的收益增长和7.3%的投资回报率的并排比较

At first glance, Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.1%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Particularly, the exceptional 47% net income growth seen by Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten over the past five years is pretty remarkable. Considering the moderately low ROE, it is quite possible that there might be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

乍一看,崇义章源钨业的投资回报率看起来并不十分乐观。但是,其投资回报率与行业平均水平的7.1%相似,因此我们不会完全解散该公司。特别是,崇义章源钨业在过去五年中实现了47%的惊人净收入增长,这非常引人注目。考虑到投资回报率适中,很可能还有其他一些方面对公司的收益增长产生积极影响。例如,公司的管理层可能做出了一些良好的战略决策,或者公司的派息率很低。

We then compared Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 13% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将崇义章源钨业的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,我们很高兴地看到,与五年同期增长率为13%的行业相比,该公司的增长数字更高。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002378 Past Earnings Growth March 16th 2024
SZSE: 002378 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 16 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查崇义章源钨业相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

崇义章源钨业在有效利用利润吗?

Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 55%, meaning the company only retains 45% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

崇义章源钨业的三年派息率中位数相当可观,为55%,这意味着该公司仅保留其收入的45%。这意味着尽管将大部分利润返还给了股东,但该公司仍能够实现高收益增长。

Additionally, Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 38% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 14% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

此外,崇义章源钨业已在至少十年内派发了股息,这意味着该公司非常认真地与股东分享利润。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年降至38%。派息率的下降可以解释该公司的投资回报率预计将在同期上升至14%。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Namely, its high earnings growth. We do however feel that the earnings growth number could have been even higher, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings and paid out less dividends. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们认为崇义章源钨业确实有一些积极的因素需要考虑。也就是说,其高收益增长。但是,我们确实认为,如果该公司将更多的收益再投资并减少派发的股息,收益增长数字可能会更高。话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,该公司的收益增长预计将放缓。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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