Shenzhen Auto Electric Power Plant Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002227) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 33% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 27% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 2.3x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
SZSE:002227 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024
How Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 20% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 8.5% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd's P/S
The strong share price surge has lead to Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Auto Electric Power PlantLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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