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Shuhua Sports Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605299) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Shuhua Sports Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605299) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

舒华体育有限公司's(SHSE: 605299)股票正在飙升但财务状况似乎前后矛盾:上涨趋势会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/16 21:02

Shuhua Sports' (SHSE:605299) stock is up by a considerable 35% over the past month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shuhua Sports' ROE today.

舒华体育(上海证券交易所代码:605299)的股票在过去一个月中上涨了35%。但是,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并未给公司的财务状况提供明确的信号。特别是,我们今天将关注舒华体育的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shuhua Sports is:

因此,根据上述公式,舒华体育的投资回报率为:

9.8% = CN¥129m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

9.8% = 1.29亿元人民币 ÷ 13亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。这意味着,每获得价值1元人民币的股东权益,该公司就会产生0.10元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Shuhua Sports' Earnings Growth And 9.8% ROE

舒华体育的收益增长和9.8%的投资回报率

On the face of it, Shuhua Sports' ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 7.4% doesn't go unnoticed by us. But seeing Shuhua Sports' five year net income decline of 5.0% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

从表面上看,舒华体育的投资回报率没什么好谈的。但是,其投资回报率远高于行业平均水平的7.4%,这一事实并没有被我们忽视。但是,鉴于舒华体育的五年净收入在过去五年中下降了5.0%,我们可能会重新考虑这个问题。请记住,该公司的投资回报率一开始有点低,只是高于行业平均水平。因此,这在某种程度上解释了收益的萎缩。

So, as a next step, we compared Shuhua Sports' performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 9.3% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将舒华体育的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以9.3%的速度增长收益。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:605299 Past Earnings Growth March 17th 2024
SHSE: 605299 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 17 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is 605299 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。605299 的价值是否合理?这张关于公司内在价值的信息图包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Shuhua Sports Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

舒华体育是否有效地将利润再投资?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 86% (implying that 14% of the profits are retained), most of Shuhua Sports' profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent.

舒华体育的三年派息率中位数很高,为86%(这意味着保留了14%的利润),因此舒华体育的大部分利润都支付给了股东,这解释了该公司收益萎缩的原因。由于只有一小部分被再投资到该业务,收益增长显然会很低或根本不存在。

Moreover, Shuhua Sports has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,舒华体育已经派发股息三年了,这是相当长的时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到,尽管收益一直在萎缩,但股东更喜欢持续的分红。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shuhua Sports can be open to many interpretations. Primarily, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which explains the lack of growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们觉得舒华体育的表现可以有多种解读。首先,尽管投资回报率适中,但我们对收益仍缺乏增长感到失望。请记住,该公司将一小部分利润再投资,这解释了增长不足的原因。既然如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师预计公司的收益增长率将大幅提高。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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