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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's (SHSE:603868) Earnings

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's (SHSE:603868) Earnings

我们认为上海飞科电器(SHSE: 603868)的收益存在问题
Simply Wall St ·  03/18 14:34

Unsurprisingly, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603868) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

不出所料,上海飞科电器有限公司's(上海证券交易所代码:603868)的股价因其健康的收益报告而表现强劲。但是,我们认为股东们可能遗漏了一些与数字相关的细节。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603868 Earnings and Revenue History March 18th 2024
SHSE: 603868 2024 年 3 月 18 日的收益和收入历史记录

Examining Cashflow Against Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's Earnings

根据上海飞科电器的收益检查现金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融领域,用于衡量公司将申报的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

For the year to December 2023, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance had an accrual ratio of -0.12. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥1.2b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥1.02b. Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,上海飞科电器的应计率为-0.12。这表明其自由现金流远超过其法定利润。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为12亿元人民币,远远超过其10.2亿元人民币的法定利润。上海飞科电器的自由现金流比去年有所改善,总体而言,这是值得期待的。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Surprisingly, given Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥155m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

令人惊讶的是,鉴于上海飞科电器的应计比率意味着强劲的现金转换,其票面利润实际上是由1.55亿元人民币的不寻常项目提振的。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。如果上海飞科电器没有看到这种捐款重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其本年度的利润将下降。

Our Take On Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's Profit Performance

我们对上海飞科电器盈利表现的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance you should be aware of.

总之,上海飞科电器的应计比率表明其法定收益质量良好,但另一方面,利润是由不寻常的项目提振的。基于这些因素,很难判断上海飞科电器的利润是否合理地反映了其潜在的盈利能力。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它面临的任何风险至关重要。一个很好的例子:我们发现了一个你应该注意的上海飞科电器警告标志。

Our examination of Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对上海飞科电器的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益好于实际的因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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