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Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Cathay Biotech Inc.'s (SHSE:688065) Mixed Fundamentals?

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Cathay Biotech Inc.'s (SHSE:688065) Mixed Fundamentals?

市场对国泰生物科技公司的容忍度低吗?”s (SHSE: 688065) 混合基本面?
Simply Wall St ·  03/18 18:42

With its stock down 15% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Cathay Biotech (SHSE:688065). It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Cathay Biotech's ROE today.

由于其股票在过去三个月中下跌了15%,很容易被忽视(上海证券交易所代码:688065)。看来市场可能完全忽视了公司基本面的积极方面,并决定更多地考虑负面方面。股票价格通常由公司的长期财务业绩驱动,因此我们决定更多地关注公司的财务业绩。特别是,我们今天将关注凯赛生物的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cathay Biotech is:

因此,根据上述公式,凯赛生物的投资回报率为:

2.4% = CN¥367m ÷ CN¥15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

2.4% = 3.67亿元人民币 ÷ 150亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.02 in profit.

“回报” 是企业去年获得的收入。另一种思考方式是,公司每持有价值1元人民币的股权,就能获得0.02元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Cathay Biotech's Earnings Growth And 2.4% ROE

国泰生物的收益增长和2.4%的投资回报率的并排比较

As you can see, Cathay Biotech's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.0%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Hence, the flat earnings seen by Cathay Biotech over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

如你所见,凯赛生物的投资回报率看起来相当疲软。即使与7.0%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率也相当惨淡。因此,凯赛生物在过去五年中收益持平可能是其投资回报率较低的结果。

We then compared Cathay Biotech's net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 12% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将凯赛生物的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,发现同期的行业平均增长率为12%。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688065 Past Earnings Growth March 18th 2024
SHSE: 688065 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 18 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Cathay Biotech fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益增长是否已经包含在股价中。这样做将帮助他们确定该股的未来是充满希望还是不祥。与其他公司相比,国泰生物科技的估值是否公平?这三种估值衡量标准可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Cathay Biotech Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

国泰生物科技能否有效地将其利润再投资?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 31% (meaning the company retains69% of profits) in the last three-year period, Cathay Biotech's earnings growth was more or les flat. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管在过去三年中,凯赛生物的三年派息率中位数为31%(这意味着公司保留了69%的利润),但其收益增长基本持平。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Additionally, Cathay Biotech has paid dividends over a period of three years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,凯赛生物已在三年内派发了股息,这意味着即使收益增长微乎其微,公司的管理层也决心派发股息。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Cathay Biotech can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,我们认为凯赛生物表现出的表现可以有多种解释。尽管该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低投资回报率意味着所有这些再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且还对收益增长产生了负面影响。话虽如此,我们研究了分析师的最新预测,发现尽管该公司过去曾缩减收益,但分析师预计其未来收益将增长。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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