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Strong Week for Yunnan Tourism (SZSE:002059) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Five-year Loss

Strong Week for Yunnan Tourism (SZSE:002059) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Five-year Loss

云南旅游(SZSE:002059)股东表现强劲的一周并未缓解五年亏损的痛苦
Simply Wall St ·  03/18 20:09

Yunnan Tourism Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002059) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 15% in the last month. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. After all, the share price is down 25% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

云南旅游股份有限公司(SZSE:002059)的股东应该很高兴看到上个月股价上涨了15%。但是,如果你看看过去的五年,回报并不理想。毕竟,当时股价下跌了25%,表现大大低于市场。

The recent uptick of 7.3% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

最近上涨7.3%可能是即将发生的事情的积极信号,因此让我们来看一下历史基本面。

Yunnan Tourism isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

云南旅游目前尚未盈利,因此大多数分析师会着眼于收入的增长,以了解基础业务的增长速度。当一家公司没有盈利时,我们通常预计收入会有良好的增长。这是因为快速的收入增长可以很容易地推断出来预测利润,通常规模相当大。

In the last five years Yunnan Tourism saw its revenue shrink by 32% per year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. On the face of it we'd posit the share price fall of 5% compound, over five years is well justified by the fundamental deterioration. We doubt many shareholders are delighted with this share price performance. It is possible for businesses to bounce back but as Buffett says, 'turnarounds seldom turn'.

在过去的五年中,云南旅游业的收入每年减少32%。这绝对比大多数盈利前公司报告的结果要差。从表面上看,我们认为股价在五年内复合下跌了5%,这完全是基本面恶化所证明的。我们怀疑许多股东对这种股价表现感到满意。企业有可能反弹,但正如巴菲特所说,“转机很少会转机”。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002059 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 19th 2024
SZSE: 002059 收益和收入增长 2024 年 3 月 19 日

If you are thinking of buying or selling Yunnan Tourism stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考虑买入或卖出云南旅游股票,则应在其资产负债表上查看这份免费的详细报告。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that Yunnan Tourism shareholders are down 23% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 11%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Yunnan Tourism has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我们遗憾地报告,云南旅游股东今年下跌了23%。不幸的是,这比整个市场11%的跌幅还要严重。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中4%的年化亏损还要糟糕。总的来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股以期出现转机。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,冒险吧——云南旅游局有 1 个警示标志,我们认为你应该注意。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,请看一下我们预计收益将增加的这份免费公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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