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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Venustech Group Inc. (SZSE:002439)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Venustech Group Inc. (SZSE:002439)?

股票下跌和基本面稳健:Venustech集团公司(SZSE:002439)的市场错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/19 19:44

With its stock down 16% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Venustech Group (SZSE:002439). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Venustech Group's ROE.

在过去三个月中,其股票下跌了16%,很容易忽视Venustech集团(SZSE:002439)。但是,股票价格通常由公司的长期财务业绩驱动,在这种情况下,这看起来很有希望。在本文中,我们决定重点关注Venustech集团的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Venustech Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,Venustech集团的投资回报率为:

9.8% = CN¥735m ÷ CN¥7.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

9.8% = 7.35亿元人民币 ÷ 75亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。这意味着,公司每获得价值1元人民币的股东权益,就会产生0.10元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

Venustech Group's Earnings Growth And 9.8% ROE

Venustech 集团的收益增长和 9.8% 的投资回报率

When you first look at it, Venustech Group's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 4.2%, is definitely interesting. This probably goes some way in explaining Venustech Group's moderate 8.8% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

当你第一次看时,Venustech集团的投资回报率看起来并不那么吸引人。但是,该公司的投资回报率高于4.2%的行业平均投资回报率,这一事实绝对很有趣。除其他因素外,这可能在某种程度上解释了Venustech集团在过去五年中8.8%的温和增长。话虽如此,该公司的投资回报率一开始确实略低,只是高于行业平均水平。因此,收益的增长也可能是其他因素的结果。例如,该公司的派息率较低,或者可能属于高增长行业。

As a next step, we compared Venustech Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 4.8%.

下一步,我们将Venustech集团的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,令人高兴的是,我们发现该公司的增长高于行业平均增长4.8%。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002439 Past Earnings Growth March 19th 2024
SZSE: 002439 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 19 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Venustech Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查Venustech集团相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Venustech Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Venustech集团是否在有效使用其留存收益?

In Venustech Group's case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 6.2% (or a retention ratio of 94%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

就Venustech Group而言,其可观的收益增长可以用其三年低的6.2%(或94%的留存率)来解释,这表明该公司正在将大部分利润投资于发展业务。

Moreover, Venustech Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 10% over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Venustech Group's future ROE will rise to 13% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to rise. We presume that there could some other characteristics of the business that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

此外,Venustech集团决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其支付股息至少十年的长期历史中推断出来的。我们最新的分析师数据显示,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内上升至10%。尽管如此,预测表明,尽管Venustech集团的派息率预计将上升,但该公司的未来投资回报率仍将上升至13%。我们认为,该业务可能还有其他一些特征可以推动公司投资回报率的预期增长。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that Venustech Group's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company has seen significant growth in its earnings backed by a respectable ROE and a high reinvestment rate. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们认为Venustech集团的表现相当不错。特别是,很高兴看到该公司的收益在可观的投资回报率和高再投资率的支持下实现了显著增长。话虽如此,从分析师目前的估计来看,我们发现该公司的收益有望增强。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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