King's Flair International (Holdings) Limited (HKG:6822) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may still consider King's Flair International (Holdings) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 16.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at King's Flair International (Holdings) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
SEHK:6822 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 20th 2024 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on King's Flair International (Holdings)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is King's Flair International (Holdings)'s Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like King's Flair International (Holdings)'s to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 66%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 80% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that King's Flair International (Holdings) is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
King's Flair International (Holdings)'s shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of King's Flair International (Holdings) revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for King's Flair International (Holdings) (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of King's Flair International (Holdings)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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