North Copper Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000737) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 62% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 23% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, North Copper's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 33x and even P/E's above 60x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
For example, consider that North Copper's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
SZSE:000737 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 21st 2024 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on North Copper's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is North Copper's Growth Trending?
North Copper's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 23%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 265% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 40% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it odd that North Copper is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From North Copper's P/E?
Despite North Copper's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that North Copper currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with North Copper.
If you're unsure about the strength of North Copper's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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