Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Greentown Management Holdings Company Limited (HKG:9979) After Its Yearly Results
Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Greentown Management Holdings Company Limited (HKG:9979) After Its Yearly Results
It's been a pretty great week for Greentown Management Holdings Company Limited (HKG:9979) shareholders, with its shares surging 14% to HK$6.19 in the week since its latest full-year results. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of CN¥3.3b and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.49. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
对于绿城管理控股有限公司(HKG: 9979)的股东来说,这是相当不错的一周,自最新的全年业绩以来,其股价在本周飙升了14%,至6.19港元。业绩与预期大致一致,收入为33亿元人民币,法定每股收益为0.49元人民币。对于投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以在报告中追踪公司的业绩,看看专家对明年的预测,看看对该业务的预期是否有任何变化。根据这些结果,我们收集了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师是否改变了盈利模式。
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Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Greentown Management Holdings from ten analysts is for revenues of CN¥4.13b in 2024. If met, it would imply a sizeable 25% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 27% to CN¥0.62. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥4.19b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.62 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
考虑到最新业绩,十位分析师对绿城管理控股公司的最新共识是,2024年的收入为41.3亿元人民币。如果得到满足,这意味着其收入在过去12个月中将大幅增长25%。每股收益预计将增长27%,至0.62元人民币。在本财报发布之前,分析师一直预测2024年的收入为41.9亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为0.62元人民币。鉴于他们的估计没有重大变化,共识分析师似乎没有在这些结果中看到任何会改变他们对业务看法的内容。
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of HK$8.48, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Greentown Management Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at HK$9.96 and the most bearish at HK$7.26 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
分析师再次确认了8.48港元的目标股价,这表明该业务表现良好,符合预期。共识目标股价只是个别分析师目标的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基础估计值的范围有多广。对绿城管理控股的看法有所不同,最看涨的分析师将其估值为9.96港元,最看跌的为每股7.26港元。这些目标股价表明,分析师对该业务的看法确实有所不同,但这些估计的差异不足以向我们表明,有些人押注取得巨大成功或彻底失败。
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Greentown Management Holdings' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 25% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 15% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 10% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Greentown Management Holdings is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
从现在的大局来看,我们可以理解这些预测的方法之一是看看它们如何与过去的业绩和行业增长预期相比较。分析师们肯定预计绿城管理控股公司的增长将加速,预计到2024年底的年化增长率为25%,而过去五年的历史年增长率为15%。相比之下,我们的数据表明,预计类似行业的其他公司(有分析师报道)的收入将以每年10%的速度增长。考虑到收入增长的预测,很明显,绿城管理控股公司的增长速度预计将比其行业快得多。
The Bottom Line
底线
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at HK$8.48, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
要了解的最重要的一点是,市场情绪没有重大变化,分析师再次确认该业务的表现符合他们先前的每股收益预期。幸运的是,他们还再次确认了收入数字,表明收入符合预期。此外,我们的数据表明,收入的增长速度预计将快于整个行业。共识目标股价稳定在8.48港元,最新估计不足以对其目标股价产生影响。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Greentown Management Holdings going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
根据这种思路,我们认为该业务的长期前景比明年的收益重要得多。我们对绿城管理控股的预测将持续到2026年,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Greentown Management Holdings you should be aware of.
但是,你应该时刻考虑风险。举个例子,我们发现了一个你应该注意的绿城管理控股的警告信号。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。