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Here's Why Zhejiang Hechuan Technology (SHSE:688320) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why Zhejiang Hechuan Technology (SHSE:688320) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

这就是浙江合川科技(SHSE: 688320)债务负担沉重的原因
Simply Wall St ·  03/23 21:54

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688320) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,浙江合川科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 688320)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Carry?

浙江合川科技背负了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Zhejiang Hechuan Technology had debt of CN¥203.5m, up from CN¥60.5m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥268.6m in cash, so it actually has CN¥65.2m net cash.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月,浙江合川科技的债务为2.035亿元人民币,高于一年内的6,050万元人民币。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有2.686亿元的现金,因此实际上拥有6,520万元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688320 Debt to Equity History March 24th 2024
SHSE: 688320 2024 年 3 月 24 日债务与股权比率历史记录

How Healthy Is Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's Balance Sheet?

浙江合川科技的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology had liabilities of CN¥611.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥49.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥268.6m in cash and CN¥748.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥356.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,浙江合川科技在12个月内到期的负债为6.11亿元人民币,12个月以后到期的负债为4,980万元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有2.686亿元的现金和7.483亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有3.561亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This surplus suggests that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种盈余表明浙江合川科技的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,浙江合川科技拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Zhejiang Hechuan Technology if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 26% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理层无法阻止去年削减26%的息税前利润,那么其适度的债务负担可能对浙江合川科技至关重要。在还清债务方面,收入下降对健康的作用并不比含糖的苏打水更有用。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定浙江合川科技未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Zhejiang Hechuan Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。浙江合川科技的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的三年中,浙江合川科技烧掉了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology has net cash of CN¥65.2m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,浙江合川科技的净现金为6,520万元人民币,流动资产比负债还多。因此,尽管我们看到了一些需要改进的地方,但我们对浙江合川科技的资产负债表并不太担心。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。请注意,浙江合川科技在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警告信号,您应该知道...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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