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Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600835) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600835) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

上海机电工业有限公司, Ltd. (SHSE: 600835) 处于上升趋势:基本面能否推动股市走高?
Simply Wall St ·  03/24 22:01

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's (SHSE:600835) stock up by 4.5% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE.

上海机电工业有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600835)的股票在过去三个月中上涨了4.5%。我们想知道公司的财务状况在价格变动中是否起着什么作用,因为公司的长期基本面通常决定市场业绩。在本文中,我们决定重点关注上海机电工业有限公司的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海机电工业有限公司的投资回报率为:

9.7% = CN¥1.6b ÷ CN¥16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

9.7% = 16亿元人民币 ÷ 160亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回报” 是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。将其概念化的一种方法是,公司每拥有1元人民币的股东资本,就会获得0.10元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.7% ROE

上海机电工业有限公司的收益增长和9.7%的投资回报率

At first glance, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 7.5% doesn't go unnoticed by us. But then again, seeing that Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's net income shrunk at a rate of 7.8% in the past five years, makes us think again. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. So that could be one of the factors that are causing earnings growth to shrink.

乍一看,上海机电工业有限公司的投资回报率看起来并不十分乐观。但是,其投资回报率远高于行业平均水平的7.5%,这一事实并没有被我们忽视。但话又说回来,看到上海机电工业有限公司的净收入在过去五年中以7.8%的速度萎缩,让我们重新思考。请记住,该公司的投资回报率一开始有点低,只是高于行业平均水平。因此,这可能是导致收益增长萎缩的因素之一。

That being said, we compared Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 11% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将上海机电工业有限公司的表现与该行业的表现进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在同期5年内以11%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600835 Past Earnings Growth March 25th 2024
SHSE: 600835 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 25 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查上海机电工业有限公司相对于该行业的市盈率是高还是低。

Is Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海机电工业有限公司是否在有效利用其利润?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 40% (where it is retaining 60% of its profits), Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管正常的三年派息率中位数为40%(保留了60%的利润),但如上所示,上海机电工业有限公司的收益却有所下降。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Moreover, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,上海机电工业有限公司派发股息已有至少十年或更长时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到股东更喜欢分红而不是收益增长。

Summary

摘要

Overall, we feel that Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,我们认为上海机电工业有限公司确实有一些积极的因素需要考虑。但是,尽管该公司的投资回报率确实不错,利润保留率很高,但其收益增长数字令人失望。这表明业务可能面临一些外部威胁,这阻碍了增长。话虽如此,我们研究了分析师的最新预测,发现尽管该公司过去曾缩减收益,但分析师预计其未来收益将增长。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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